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Poll watchers beware: RCP is a conservative website and they pick and choose which polls to include in their averages. You will see Susquenhana (R) but not Grove (D), for example. They still include the Gallup daily tracker in their national average even though it has not been tracking anything in nearly a week. If you want to see all the polling and apply your own judgment, the best source I know of is 538 blog. All the polls for each swing state can be found there.
Pennsylvania’s sudden emergence as a state up for grabs shouldn’t surprise anyone, Lee said. Even when state polls showed a wide gap in Obama’s favor, the president rarely registered more than 50 percent, he said. “I think it’s always been here for the taking,”
Obama is behind now in Minnesota and Michigan....two Democratic strongholds.
He's tied in PA.
He's behind in Ohio.
He's TOAST.
Not behind in either of them, not tied in PA and not trailing in Ohio. Look at the cosensus of all polls, not just picking out the ones that show your side the best and ignoring the rest, not the internal polls.
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