***Presidential Polls*** #2 (house seat, poverty, Al Gore, 9/11)

[nick is rulz]

If Obama managed to win FL, then thats it...election is over.

[Maabus1999]

Originally Posted by nick is rulz

If Obama managed to win FL, then thats it...election is over.

If obama wins OH, VA, or FL, the election is most likely over.

[summers73]

Originally Posted by gtc08

morning polls

Florida Survey USA Romney 47 Obama 47 previous Obama 47 Romney 46
Oregon The Oregonian Obama 47 Romney 41 no prior polling
Georgia Survey USA Romney 52 Obama 44 previous Romney 50 Obama 42

Georgia and Oregon are outside MOE and will go dem and rep respectively.
Florida is tightening. Not just this poll, but the last 5 florida polls have all been within the margin of error.
Florida leans Romney slightly, but I wouldnt be surprised if Obama wins.

Too many indies in FL unaccounted for (6%). They will overwhelmingly go Rmoney. Too many bad things happening to the POTUS making a generic challenger appealing.

[TigerLily24]

Originally Posted by marcopolo

Seems like a lot of commtators on these boards point to the sponsor's perceived bias when interpreting poll results.

Kind of shocking to see National Public Radio's poll showing ROMNEY up on Obama, ROMNEY with better favorable/unfavorables than Obama. NPR!

Here is your best opportunity to get a clue, if you have been clueless until this point.

RealClearPolitics - Latest Polls

Might want to read the entire report.

"The latest and last NPR Battleground Poll for 2012 shows former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney holding the narrowest of leads in the national sample, but trailing President Obama in the dozen states that will decide the election.
...
The battleground offers some support for Greenberg's view, because attitudes toward the president are better there (54 percent favorable to 44 percent unfavorable) and attitudes toward Romney are worse (46 percent favorable to 49 percent unfavorable)."

NPR Poll Finds Presidential Race Too Close To Call | KPBS.org

[gtc08]

Originally Posted by summers73

Too many indies in FL unaccounted for (6%). They will overwhelmingly go Rmoney. Too many bad things happening to the POTUS making a generic challenger appealing.

i would agree that florida will probably go romney, but it wont be a big win.

538 has romney 65-35, intrade has 70-30. i think those are fair odds until i see some consistent polling with obama leading.

[highcotton]

Even NPR Has Romney In The Lead!

[stayinformed40]

Originally Posted by highcotton

Even NPR Has Romney In The Lead!

Ouch! That one is going to make the lefties even more rabid.

[EdwardA]

Originally Posted by gtc08

i would agree that florida will probably go romney, but it wont be a big win.

538 has romney 65-35, intrade has 70-30. i think those are fair odds until i see some consistent polling with obama leading.

Romney will win Florida.

[HeyJude514]

Originally Posted by highcotton

Even NPR Has Romney In The Lead!

Of course, be sure to ignore this from your link:

But Democratic pollster Stanley Greenberg and Republican pollster Whit Ayres found that Obama leads by 4 points in the 12 battleground states that appear ready to pick the winner for the rest of the country next Tuesday. And they suggest that Romney's post-debate surge has "stalled."

I can see Romney possibly winning the popular vote, but that won't put him in the White House. Just ask Al Gore.

[gtc08]

Originally Posted by EdwardA

Romney will win Florida.

Florida isnt a certainty with the polls that have been coming out. He is the favorite right now though in FLA.