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Old 10-25-2012, 10:45 AM
 
Location: Portland, Oregon
46,001 posts, read 35,223,587 times
Reputation: 7875

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Quote:
Originally Posted by wxjay View Post
Florida is going for Romney. As in NC.
I wouldn't be so sure of that if I were you, and I wouldn't expect it to be an easy win for Romney either. Florida will probablytake a while to be tallied and called. I am predicting a close win in that state.

 
Old 10-25-2012, 10:49 AM
 
Location: Portland, Oregon
46,001 posts, read 35,223,587 times
Reputation: 7875
Quote:
Originally Posted by marcopolo View Post
Obama winning PA is at 79 on Intrade? Gosh, that's where Intrade had Obama for winning the election...back on October 1...before his 20 point slide.
Funny you mention 20% because Obama currently leads Romney on intrade by 20%. I am guessing you haven't checked the site lately....as for that slide, it looks like it has been replaced with a rise and if you pay attention to gambling sites, then that is bad news for Romney.
 
Old 10-25-2012, 10:51 AM
 
Location: NC
1,672 posts, read 1,773,585 times
Reputation: 524
Quote:
Originally Posted by urbanlife78 View Post
Funny you mention 20% because Obama currently leads Romney on intrade by 20%. I am guessing you haven't checked the site lately....as for that slide, it looks like it has been replaced with a rise and if you pay attention to gambling sites, then that is bad news for Romney.
If you applied 200-day moving averages to Intrade, Obamas trend has been going higher throughout.

The 80% spike was just for Romney's 47% comment which was re-normalized after the first debate.

Just look at the year-long price graph to confirm yourself folks.
 
Old 10-25-2012, 11:02 AM
 
Location: Maryland
18,630 posts, read 19,438,277 times
Reputation: 6462
Quote:
Originally Posted by gtc08 View Post
PA isnt even listed as a battleground on intrade or 538.

Intrade has Obama 79 Romney 22.
538 Obama 93 Romney 7.
My bookie Obama -585 Romney +385

PA is safe blue.
PA is far from safe if Obama is taking time out of his busy schedule to talk to a local talk show host.
 
Old 10-25-2012, 11:03 AM
 
Location: Portland, Oregon
46,001 posts, read 35,223,587 times
Reputation: 7875
Quote:
Originally Posted by EdwardA View Post
PA is far from safe if Obama is taking busy time out of his schedule to talk to a local talk show host.
Which talk show host is Obama talking to?
 
Old 10-25-2012, 11:04 AM
 
Location: Maryland
18,630 posts, read 19,438,277 times
Reputation: 6462
Ras VA:
50R
47O
 
Old 10-25-2012, 11:05 AM
 
Location: Maryland
18,630 posts, read 19,438,277 times
Reputation: 6462
Quote:
Originally Posted by urbanlife78 View Post
Which talk show host is Obama talking to?
The guy that fills in for Chris Matthews Smermish or something. He's supposedly an Obama loving conservative, right.

https://twitter.com/smerconish/statu...99074035982336
 
Old 10-25-2012, 11:26 AM
 
3,620 posts, read 3,840,821 times
Reputation: 1512
Quote:
Originally Posted by EdwardA View Post
Ras VA:
50R
47O

it's 50 Romney 48 Obama.

prior one was 50 47 romney
 
Old 10-25-2012, 11:41 AM
 
Location: 44.9800° N, 93.2636° W
2,654 posts, read 5,766,708 times
Reputation: 888
and since its Rasmussen, it actually means "Virginia is a tossup right now"
 
Old 10-25-2012, 12:00 PM
 
Location: Maryland
18,630 posts, read 19,438,277 times
Reputation: 6462
Quote:
Originally Posted by gtc08 View Post
it's 50 Romney 48 Obama.

prior one was 50 47 romney
He tweeted 47 for Obama

Ras PA:

Obama 51
Romney 46

Halperin of Time mag: "Obvious PA in Play......."

https://twitter.com/markhalperin/sta...25540136173568
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