4/5ths chance of Obama winning election. (unemployed, vote, Republican, conservative)

[Think4Yourself]

Romney is toast provided people actually show up to vote.

Election Forecasts - FiveThirtyEight Blog - NYTimes.com

[padcrasher]

Originally Posted by Think4Yourself

Romney is toast provided people actually show up to vote.

Election Forecasts - FiveThirtyEight Blog - NYTimes.com

19.1% a new 22 day low. The "nowcast" gives him only a 17.1% chance so as we get closer to Tuesday those two projections will merge.

I'm thinking a 1 in 6, to 1 in 7, chance of winning. Tuesday morning.

[pghquest]

Once again, that link makes no sense, but you guys keep pushing it as accurate..

If the electoria college vote is 303 to 234, then

The probability that a state provides the decisive electoral vote.

Ohio at 49%..

Would be IMPOSSIBLE, because even if Romney got Ohio, that wouldnt be enough to be a "decision" maker..

[padcrasher]

Originally Posted by pghquest

Once again, that link makes no sense, but you guys keep pushing it as accurate..

If the electoria college vote is 303 to 234, then

The probability that a state provides the decisive electoral vote.

Ohio at 49%..

Would be IMPOSSIBLE, because even if Romney got Ohio, that wouldnt be enough to be a "decision" maker..

OH you nailed it bro. I once heard Nate tell somebody there were 3.67 jobs for every unemployed person.

I told my wife. Man is that guy stupid ...who ever heard of a .67 Job? ...What's that? They send you home after 6hours? Pay you .67 what everybody else gets?

You should fax your credentials to Nate and alert him to your discovery.

[pghquest]

Originally Posted by padcrasher

OH you nailed it bro. I once heard Nate tell somebody there were 3.67 jobs for every unemployed person.

I told my wife. Man is that guy stupid ...who ever heard of a .67 Job? ...What's that? They send you home after 6hours? Pay you .67 what everybody else gets?

You should fax your credentials to Nate and alert him to your discovery.

thats not even close to the same.. But if you want to admit you're stupid, I'm not going to stop you..

FAIL!!!!

[nick is rulz]

Conservatives also hated Nate Silver when he predicted a landslide in their favor in 2010.

Oh wait....

[pghquest]

Originally Posted by nick is rulz

Conservatives also hated Nate Silver when he predicted a landslide in their favor in 2010.

Oh wait....

Wow, the mans a genius, he predicted what every other individual in the country was saying..

Ooh wait.

[padcrasher]

Originally Posted by pghquest

thats not even close to the same.. But if you want to admit you're stupid, I'm not going to stop you..

FAIL!!!!

Oh it's not? Ok

Well nevertheless you discovered this amazing discrepancy that no one else has been able to do.

Please fax your credentials to Nate and alert him!

YOU obviously have full knowledge and expertise in this area.

He's damaging your candidate's chances with his misinformed predictions. Act quickly!

[Cinebar]

Originally Posted by nick is rulz

Conservatives also hated Nate Silver when he predicted a landslide in their favor in 2010.

Oh wait....

[LostInHouston]

For a second there I almost fell into the trap of trying to give a republican a statistics lesson... but that would inevitably end in me putting a gun to my head and I really would like to be around to vote for Obama next week.