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A man needs to know his limitations . Senator Lautenberg like Pope Benedict 15th is setting a great example. It is hard to take leave from something you live for but you don't need to die with your boots on!
A man needs to know his limitations . Senator Lautenberg like Pope Benedict 15th is setting a great example. It is hard to take leave from something you live for but you don't need to die with your boots on!
My thoughts exactly. Would he have lost the primary? Who knows but he is stepping down with class, has served his state well and it is time to turn over the reins to someone else. This is like Ron Paul did. He knew it was time to get out and enjoy a little life. There is life after politics for some.
The two Republican retirees will change little. In each case, the races probably get ever-so-slightly more competitive, though in the case of Nebraska, if Governor Heineman runs then it'll probably be even safer than if Johanns ran again. At any rate, they're both near locks for the GOP.
Lautenberg's retiring changes little as well. In fact, it probably makes the seat slightly more easy for the Democrats to retain.
However, the other two retirings will affect the races. Rockefeller would have been a strong re-election favorite. Now, Shelly Moore Capito will be the strong favorite, so long as she can avoid getting Tea Party'd into primary oblivion. Even then, the race would probably be a toss-up, better for the GOP than had Rockefeller run.
In Iowa, the seat goes from being safe to being less than safe; how much so depends on who the GOP nominates.
So far, a very difficult cycle for the Democrats has gotten somewhat more difficult overall with these retirings.
The two Republican retirees will change little. In each case, the races probably get ever-so-slightly more competitive, though in the case of Nebraska, if Governor Heineman runs then it'll probably be even safer than if Johanns ran again. At any rate, they're both near locks for the GOP.
Lautenberg's retiring changes little as well. In fact, it probably makes the seat slightly more easy for the Democrats to retain.
However, the other two retirings will affect the races. Rockefeller would have been a strong re-election favorite. Now, Shelly Moore Capito will be the strong favorite, so long as she can avoid getting Tea Party'd into primary oblivion. Even then, the race would probably be a toss-up, better for the GOP than had Rockefeller run.
In Iowa, the seat goes from being safe to being less than safe; how much so depends on who the GOP nominates.
So far, a very difficult cycle for the Democrats has gotten somewhat more difficult overall with these retirings.
I would not be at all surprised to see WV go Republican with the last Rockerfeller calling it quits. IA might very well go Republicans but it can be considered a toos up, as you said. Neither Repbulican retiring will hurt the Republicans. I think the Republicans will pick up one seat from the the Democrats, but there are still many senators that might hang it up and who knows how that will play out.
I would not be at all surprised to see WV go Republican with the last Rockerfeller calling it quits. IA might very well go Republicans but it can be considered a toos up, as you said. Neither Repbulican retiring will hurt the Republicans. I think the Republicans will pick up one seat from the the Democrats, but there are still many senators that might hang it up and who knows how that will play out.
West Virginia is something that the GOP can pick up with Congresswoman Capito going for the Seat, however the tea party is going hard for her, so Primary could be a bigger issue.
Iowa's potential competitiveness is based off who wins the GOP Primary. The Dems have the edge with Braley, but Latham can make it competitive. However, Steve King (who has a very good shot at winning the Primary) is about as unelectable as it can get statewide. He wins the GOP nomination, he gets demolished. He is bats*** insane.
Speaking of bats*** insane, Georgia could be a tougher to hold then you might think. The GOP as a few interesting characters out there with Rep Broun leading the insane asylum. He gets the GOP nod, its a Democratic pick up.
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Lautenberg (Senator, D-NJ) To Retire
