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I don't see Land pulling it out (barring some super October surprise).
The Democrats need to turn their focus to Alaska, as Begich is now falling behind Sullivan, and keep going strong in Iowa, where it is still very close and Ernst has a good shot of taking that seat. I think the Democrats are also safe in NH, despite a somewhat strong challenge from Scott Brown. I just don't see him winning that seat over a popular former governor.
I think the Democrats are losing their positions in Kentucky and even Georgia (though it is closer here, but because of the name 'Nunn', not her positions), where the Republicans are still holding on and should probably retain those seats.
If the Republicans want to make some plays, they need to continue to invest in Iowa and then turn into some investment in North Carolina, where Kay Hagan is playing the moderate card very well and marginalizing Tillis. The Republicans also need to keep the pressure up on Mary Landrieu in Louisiana, as she is still running somewhat close and has name recognition to help her in that state.
Michigan is not deep blue. Michigan is historically a blue-leaning battleground state that is trending blue as of the last 30 years of elections.
For the midwest, only Michigan and Illinois have been trending "more blue." Iowa, Wisconsin, and Ohio have little trend (they go as the country goes), and every other midwestern state has been trending GOP. The most shocking trend is Minnesota, which has been trending towards red for the last 30 years or so. Remember Minnesota didn't even vote for Reagan.
I don't see Land pulling it out (barring some super October surprise).
The Democrats need to turn their focus to Alaska, as Begich is now falling behind Sullivan, and keep going strong in Iowa, where it is still very close and Ernst has a good shot of taking that seat. I think the Democrats are also safe in NH, despite a somewhat strong challenge from Scott Brown. I just don't see him winning that seat over a popular former governor.
I think the Democrats are losing their positions in Kentucky and even Georgia (though it is closer here, but because of the name 'Nunn', not her positions), where the Republicans are still holding on and should probably retain those seats.
If the Republicans want to make some plays, they need to continue to invest in Iowa and then turn into some investment in North Carolina, where Kay Hagan is playing the moderate card very well and marginalizing Tillis. The Republicans also need to keep the pressure up on Mary Landrieu in Louisiana, as she is still running somewhat close and has name recognition to help her in that state.
I don't necessarily disagree with you. The mere fact that the Senate races are competitive in places like Michigan and New Hampshire is very important because it forces the Democrats and their big money PACs and special interest groups to spend money in those states. Without the competitiveness of candidates like Land, Brown, Gardner, etc., the big money donors that are bankrolling the Democrats' continued power grab could focus on other races that Republicans are leading in, like GA, AK, KY, AR, etc.
Yup, Peters and the Democrats can't be pleased with that trend. I understand why you omitted the dates of the polls.
They were all taken within two weeks, there really is no trend there considering how close the polls were taken to each other. Poll average is 5.4, which puts in basically in the same category as McConnell and Grimes (McConnell 5.2)
dismiss trace, just a bit for the gop who has no original opinions on anything.
here's the current line on the michigan race, which is the real thing to look at.
Michigan - United States Senate elections - November 4, 2014
Tue 11/4 10021 Gary Peters (D) wins MI election -1200
6:00AM 10022 Terry Lynn Land (R) wins MI election +600
dismiss trace, just a bit for the gop who has no original opinions on anything.
here's the current line on the michigan race, which is the real thing to look at.
Michigan - United States Senate elections - November 4, 2014
Tue 11/4 10021 Gary Peters (D) wins MI election -1200
6:00AM 10022 Terry Lynn Land (R) wins MI election +600
peters is looking great right now.
I have an original opinion about you, but I'm not allowed to give it.
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