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Hagan continues to have a significant problem with the gender gap. Male voters prefer Tillis by a 53-40% margin.
Young voters, those aged 18-34, split evenly between the two candidates, which each getting 41%. If Hagan can't improve her numbers with that demographic, she is toast.
Living here in NC, I must say that choosing between these two is as appealing as choosing between getting shot or getting stabbed.
Hagan is DESPERATE to distance herself from the human stench that is Barack Obama, and she actually hasn't done a half-bad job doing so. The early ads were all tying Hagan to Obamacare, and honestly, I thought that would be enough to destroy her.
But Tillis is obviously not without his faults. What's sad is the sheer number of negative attack ads these two both run. It reminds me of what my mom taught me as a child "If you don't have anything nice to say, don't say anything at all." Ah, mom, if politicians would only listen to you!
I agree with Smash255 -- we need to see A LOT more polling before any meaningful conclusions can be drawn.
Need to see more polling before you can really say Tillis is in the lead. First poll out of the last 14 that Tillis led.
Yes. BUT, now we can not say that Tillis has been trailing in the last 15 polls.
Certainly, this is another race that could very easily break for the GOP given the ongoing failures of both the Obama administration and the clown car of Democrat Senate candidates that have been served up this cycle. With gaffe prone very poor candidates like Alison Grimes, Bruce Braley, Michelle Nunn, Mark Udall, and Wendy Davis (even though she isn't running for Senate), the GOP is easily able to Akin-ize the entire slate of Democrat candidates. Just like the Democrats did previously.
Living here in NC, I must say that choosing between these two is as appealing as choosing between getting shot or getting stabbed.
Hagan is DESPERATE to distance herself from the human stench that is Barack Obama, and she actually hasn't done a half-bad job doing so. The early ads were all tying Hagan to Obamacare, and honestly, I thought that would be enough to destroy her.
But Tillis is obviously not without his faults. What's sad is the sheer number of negative attack ads these two both run. It reminds me of what my mom taught me as a child "If you don't have anything nice to say, don't say anything at all." Ah, mom, if politicians would only listen to you!
I agree with Smash255 -- we need to see A LOT more polling before any meaningful conclusions can be drawn.
Hagan has had a small but constant lead in almost all the polling over the last couple months. One poll showing Tillis up by one point doesn't change that. Now if the next couple polls start to show Tillis with a small lead than perhaps we can make an argument that Tillis has started to gain an advantage. However, one poll out of the last 14 showing him ahead and by 1 point is clearly not enough to suggest he has gained an advantage.
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Tillis claims he got teachers a 7% raise. I've talked with someone who actually works in a local NC school and while inexperienced teachers may have gotten a 7% increase, from what I hear the experienced ones basically got the short end of the stick. I'm still waiting to hear Tillis's explanation of just how he was a partner in a publicly held corporation (IBM).
Yes. BUT, now we can not say that Tillis has been trailing in the last 15 polls.
Certainly, this is another race that could very easily break for the GOP given the ongoing failures of both the Obama administration and the clown car of Democrat Senate candidates that have been served up this cycle. With gaffe prone very poor candidates like Alison Grimes, Bruce Braley, Michelle Nunn, Mark Udall, and Wendy Davis (even though she isn't running for Senate), the GOP is easily able to Akin-ize the entire slate of Democrat candidates. Just like the Democrats did previously.
There is no one in this bunch that anyone can really Akinize. While Grimes and Nunn have certainly made mistakes, putting them in that category in plain silly considering both are running close (albeit trailing for the most part in Republican states. Considering you have a long term Incumbent in one and an open seat in the other and the current political climate, neither race should have been all that close to begin with.
Tillis claims he got teachers a 7% raise. I've talked with someone who actually works in a local NC school and while inexperienced teachers may have gotten a 7% increase, from what I hear the experienced ones basically got the short end of the stick. I'm still waiting to hear Tillis's explanation of just how he was a partner in a publicly held corporation (IBM).
The Hagan-Tillis race is basically coming down to Tillis tying Hagan to Obama who is unpopular in the state vs Hagan tying Tillis to the GOP State Assembly (which he leads) and Governor McCoy, both of which are unpopular as well.
There is no one in this bunch that anyone can really Akinize. While Grimes and Nunn have certainly made mistakes, putting them in that category in plain silly considering both are running close (albeit trailing for the most part in Republican states. Considering you have a long term Incumbent in one and an open seat in the other and the current political climate, neither race should have been all that close to begin with.
And how could I forget Mary Landrieu and her keg stands? Or the socialist they are running in Montana - can't even remember her name because the mainstream media is busy with a media blackout about that race.
The Democrat slate of Senate candidates is laughable this cycle.
And how could I forget Mary Landrieu and her keg stands? Or the socialist they are running in Montana - can't even remember her name because the mainstream media is busy with a media blackout about that race.
The Democrat slate of Senate candidates is laughable this cycle.
In Montana the Democrats are running a sacraficial lamb after Schweitzer passed on it since he seems to be getting ready to run for President and Bullock wants to stay Governor. Even before Walsh's scandal broke, they basically had a 2nd or 3rd tier candidate running and it wasn't a seriously contested race. Truly competive races are going to get more coverage than non-competitive races, which is why Montana gets little coverage nationally.
As far as Landreiu, I agree that was basically silly, but ahain this is a race the GOP is likely to win anyway. The only one who has made gaffe's that could truly impact the race was Braley (I'll give you that). However, even when he was a clear favorite it was never as safe for the Dems as Missouri was for the GOP last time, and he could still win, Akin at this point was already finished.
Not to mention we now have a competive race in South Dakota (though Rounds still has the advantage) this was suppose to be a cakewalk for the GOP.
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