Quote:
Originally Posted by banjomike
Not at all. We are still 20 months away from election day. That's a ridiculously long time to go. Candidates who enter the race this summer still have plenty of time.
If anything those who enter early are taking a big risk. The voters may tire of them, there's a lot of time for skeletons to fall out of closets, and time for more unfortunate incident to occur.
Those who have yet to jump in the race are just being more cautious, or are still laying their groundwork. Those who have declared have already gotten their financial support lined up, and are following different strategies than this who are holding back.
The thing Hillary has as both a great advantage and disadvantage is she is by far the best known candidate in either party. She knows full well what it is going to take for her to win, and by entering this early, she has a strategy fully formed that is both offensive and defensive.
We could speculate on her reasons for entering this early all day, but Hillary has by far the most experience running in a Presidential campaign and has a roomful of the smartest people in Washington advising her. Whatever reasons were behind her decision to enter this early, you can be sure, have been discussed deeply for months.
Don't expect 2016 to be like 2008. It won't be. And it will be different from 2012 as well. Obama's two victories changed things up radically, and 2016 will be just as radically different on both sides.
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Only about 18 months to go until the convention, however. I'm sure part of why Hillary announced was pressure from within the party. There was reason to believe that she might not run, and after her the options for Democrats were slim & none. It was necessary for her to announce just allow the party a sigh of relief. There is also money raising to consider. As campaigns spend more, more time is needed to fundraise. I heard the other day that sources inside Team Hillary expect to raise $2.5 billion.