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Old 05-12-2015, 08:06 PM
 
12,270 posts, read 11,328,716 times
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This will tick off the GOP doomsayers who've given this election to Hillary already. One of their own isn't buying into the numbers.

There Is No ‘Blue Wall’ | FiveThirtyEight
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Old 05-12-2015, 09:05 PM
 
12,638 posts, read 8,953,334 times
Reputation: 7458
Bobtn will cry himself to sleep when he reads this.
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Old 05-12-2015, 10:01 PM
 
Location: Arizona
13,778 posts, read 9,661,538 times
Reputation: 7485
Damn! Somebody worked the numbers and the graphs to make Republicans sure winners. How cool is that? Joe the Plumber could run and win.
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Old 05-12-2015, 11:12 PM
 
Location: Phoenix
30,369 posts, read 19,156,062 times
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I thought the article made good sense. The so called blue wall looks formidable but will the next Democrat be able to enjoy the historic black turnout and maintain a huge advantage with Hispanics that Obama enjoyed. Time will tell but I'm not so sure, especially if republicans have a good likable candidate better than their last 2 candidates.
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Old 05-12-2015, 11:29 PM
 
Location: Arizona
13,778 posts, read 9,661,538 times
Reputation: 7485
Quote:
Originally Posted by Tall Traveler View Post
I thought the article made good sense. The so called blue wall looks formidable but will the next Democrat be able to enjoy the historic black turnout and maintain a huge advantage with Hispanics that Obama enjoyed. Time will tell but I'm not so sure, especially if republicans have a good likable candidate better than their last 2 candidates.
That's a pretty fair assessment, IMO.
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Old 05-12-2015, 11:56 PM
 
Location: Old Mother Idaho
29,218 posts, read 22,361,490 times
Reputation: 23858
The black vote is only one of many questions about the electorate that will be decided next year.
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Old 05-13-2015, 12:13 AM
 
34,278 posts, read 19,368,360 times
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Pretty good article, and its right, this race can be won by a republican. ts going to depend on who.
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Old 05-13-2015, 05:43 AM
 
13,685 posts, read 9,007,828 times
Reputation: 10405
I agree: a very interesting article. Mr. Silver certainly won my respect during the last Presidential election (when I started to read his stuff). Democrats should read his articles with care.
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Old 05-13-2015, 06:58 AM
 
Location: Portland, Oregon
46,001 posts, read 35,176,592 times
Reputation: 7875
Not sure how his article is suppose to tick anyone off, it is pretty accurate portrayal.
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Old 05-13-2015, 08:22 AM
 
Location: SF Bay Area
12,287 posts, read 9,820,687 times
Reputation: 6509
This exactly what I have been saying since November of last year.
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