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Old 11-19-2015, 11:11 AM
 
52,430 posts, read 26,710,616 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by TigerLily24 View Post
And?.
Hmm...
Folly to talk about people saying that Hillary Clinton considered to be more experienced when they won't vote for her.

The question leaves it up to the respondent to define what "experienced" means to them. In this election, being an experienced politician, is not necessarily a good thing.
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Old 11-19-2015, 11:46 AM
 
Location: Portland, Oregon
46,001 posts, read 35,248,440 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by nmnita View Post
that is only if they can pull off Ohio, VA, Fl as well as Colorado. Don't get too excited yet. As for Trump being ahead in Colo, I wouldn't put a lot of faith in any polls right now. 3 1/2 months from now, after the big March primaries we will see a true picture.
Pretty much, at this point the same thing can be said with both primaries, we wouldn't have a true picture of who will be running in 2016 until at least March.
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Old 11-19-2015, 11:50 AM
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by urbanlife78 View Post
Pretty much, at this point the same thing can be said with both primaries, we wouldn't have a true picture of who will be running in 2016 until at least March.
LOL. DNC isn't having a primary. They are having a dog & pony show.

King Hillary will be nominated by Super Delegates.
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Old 11-19-2015, 11:56 AM
 
Location: SF Bay Area
12,287 posts, read 9,842,211 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Mathguy View Post
The problem is that most of the respondents are so irrational that their interpretation of the outlook makes them arguably less informed than the general public or if you just predicted using a groundhog.

For example, far right repubs were delusional about polling results just a week or two before the 2012 presidential election. Far left Dems were delusional about the polls heading into the 2014 midterms and the litany of excuses they've made glosses over the general fact that they've gotten clobbered everywhere but in the presidential race since 2008.

I think the big wildcard is that people here are assuming Hillary will just follow in Obama's footsteps.

That ignores everything we learned in the 2008 primaries and elections. Obama is a charismatic generally likeable guy. Hillary (to some extent it's unfair it matters so much) has NEVER had that working for her and is now quite frankly old.

She also has a track record that is directly at odds with many of her current positions. NAFTA, her massive walls street connections, big oil campaign donations.....Obama didn't have that baggage and his campaign comments weren't as dismissible as empty talk. Lastly, Hillary alienated a number of black voters during the bitter 2008 primary.

I'm not making any predictions, but she's no Obama in terms of electability. Maybe it will still be enough, too early to tell.
I have been saying the same thing for the last year.

Democrats winning is based on turn out, they have to have a candidate the energizes the base as well as moderates. Obama was able to do that, Hillary not so much. The base isn't really excited and moderates do not trust/believe in her like they did Obama. Thinking red/blue 16 will be like red/blue 12/08 is sophomoric speculation. President isn't as much about the party or ideas as it is about the person. People have to like the person, history has shown that the most likable candidate has won every election in the TV era.

Now don't get me wrong, Clinton can win, but it sure isn't a lock like some here think. I would put the odds 60/40 towards republicans not named trump and a toss up if trump.
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Old 11-19-2015, 12:07 PM
 
52,430 posts, read 26,710,616 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by shooting4life View Post
Democrats winning is based on turn out, they have to have a candidate the energizes the base as well as moderates......
This is a myth.

Democrats, Republicans, or anyone else, win by appealing to voters. Nothing more, nothing less.

Democrats have waged war on the middle class and the middle class has abandoned them. This has already cost them control of most of the federal & state governments. It will cost them the presidency in 2016.
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Old 11-19-2015, 12:14 PM
 
11,181 posts, read 10,554,236 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Mathguy View Post
By running Hillary you guarantee a Republican either way.
Quote:
Originally Posted by urbanlife78 View Post
You say that, but I still haven't seen how Republicans are going to get to 270.
Quote:
Originally Posted by YanMarcs View Post
While Democrats have secured in Michigan, WI, MN and PA, they need less and less states like Colorado to win, and if in fact the Virginia enter in Democratic bloc, practically is game over for GOP
HRC can get to 270 without Colorado.

The GOP candidate cannot.
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Old 11-19-2015, 12:18 PM
 
Location: Portland, Oregon
46,001 posts, read 35,248,440 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by WaldoKitty View Post
LOL. DNC isn't having a primary. They are having a dog & pony show.

King Hillary will be nominated by Super Delegates.
Oh I know, "super delegates" will be selecting the Democrat. And Oregon is going to go red in 2016.

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Old 11-19-2015, 12:19 PM
 
Location: SF Bay Area
12,287 posts, read 9,842,211 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by WaldoKitty View Post
This is a myth.

Democrats, Republicans, or anyone else, win by appealing to voters. Nothing more, nothing less.

Democrats have waged war on the middle class and the middle class has abandoned them. This has already cost them control of most of the federal & state governments. It will cost them the presidency in 2016.
It isn't a myth, message plays a part in turn out, but happiness with the party in power is the big driver of turn out. Generally, the American people are sick of the party in power, no matter which one it is, after 8 years.
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Old 11-19-2015, 12:23 PM
 
17,370 posts, read 11,338,651 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by WaldoKitty View Post
LOL. DNC isn't having a primary. They are having a dog & pony show.

King Hillary will be nominated by Super Delegates.
Of course she will because she's having a coronation. I don't know why the dems are even wasting all that money on primaries and a convention. They could just donate the money to some worthy group like Planned Parenthood instead.
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Old 11-19-2015, 12:25 PM
 
Location: SF Bay Area
12,287 posts, read 9,842,211 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by biscuitmom View Post
HRC can get to 270 without Colorado.

The GOP candidate cannot.
What is happening in Colorado is mirrored in other purple states.
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