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Old 11-25-2015, 10:26 AM
 
7,584 posts, read 5,366,066 times
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Polls are instructive but they only reflect attitudes on the day that they are taken and polls that are taken well in advance of an event particularly an election they hold little predictive value. So while, perhaps entertaining, the daily posting of the latest daily poll as proof of one person's favorite candidate besting another is for all intents and purposes useless in the long run.

Do Early Polls Predict Anything? - The Monkey Cage

 
Old 11-25-2015, 10:34 AM
 
Location: Tennessee
37,839 posts, read 41,197,341 times
Reputation: 62371
Quote:
Originally Posted by TheWiseWino View Post
Polls are instructive but they only reflect attitudes on the day that they are taken and polls that are taken well in advance of an event particularly an election they hold little predictive value. So while, perhaps entertaining, the daily posting of the latest daily poll as proof of one person's favorite candidate besting another is for all intents and purposes useless in the long run.

Do Early Polls Predict Anything? - The Monkey Cage
This is the second time you referred to The Monkey Cage and an article from 4 years ago. Is your candidate Bush or Sanders?
 
Old 11-25-2015, 11:49 AM
 
7,584 posts, read 5,366,066 times
Reputation: 9454
Quote:
Originally Posted by LauraC View Post
This is the second time you referred to The Monkey Cage and an article from 4 years ago. Is your candidate Bush or Sanders?
Neither. The thread is demonstratively non-partisan since both sides of the political spectrum are active participants in the poll of the day, "my guy is winning," school of debate. I just think that folks should be aware that day to day polls while interesting are not authoritative and shouldn't be argued as such.
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