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Joe Lunardi is working on his yearly last 4 teams in, etc.
So with the GOP race who are the next 4 out?
#1.
Carly Fiorina is next out.
#2. and #3.
Depends on NH. Kasich has stated that if he does not do well in NH he is out.
So let's assume he does well since he is perking up in the NH polls. Christie is running about 5th in NH polls. That won't cut it after Iowa.
Carson did not do well in Iowa and he trails Christie in NH and has let staff go as he us running low on funds.
We go with Carson and Christie as two of the other's that are "next" out since Kasich has a real chance to finish 2nd or 3rd in NH.
That leaves Trump, Cruz, Bush, Kasich, and Rubio,
Rubio is an unknown in the next primary which is S.C. and Bush has been encouraged to figure out a way to stay in it until S.C. And of course he would like to last until Florida.
With Cruz a one time winner and Trump looking very good in NH polls, then they move on past S.C.
#4.
If Kasich is a one time wonder in NH and off the charts in S.C. we think Kasich is the next one out after Fiorina, Carson, and Christie.
The final 4 moving on to Nevada and elsewhere will be Trump, Cruz, Rubio, and Bush.
What does it take to get Bush out? Is he just doing this for fun at this point?
He hates to admit that Trump ruined his hopes. He attacked Trump from the start and it backfired. He did not do well in Iowa and maybe around 9-10% in NH according to some polls. He does have some hopes in his mind for S.C. and Florida so he will hang on past NH. He has already said that when the time comes he will endorse Rubio.
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