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RCP average was 31.8%, Trump got 32.5%. It was right on the mark.
You really need to look at the margin of victory, because the RCP average takes into consideration the undecided. Either that or you have to argue that Rubio and Cruz both outperormed their RCP averagesby a larger margin than Trump, or undecideds broke more towars Rubio and Cruz than they did Trump, however by not enough to have more than a minimal impact on the margin.
Never liked the RCP average. People think just because you average a bunch of things you get the right answer. RCP average has been way off at times.
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