Politico column suggests Trump could win Rust Belt States (NAFTA, vote, Republican)

[BobNJ1960]

Politico Mag: Trade Will Give Trump Ohio, Wisconsin, Michigan


via the regions aversion to Free Trade, as demonstrated by past elections, and 2016 Michigan primaries for both parties.

[afoigrokerkok]

1) He won't win any of these states.

2) However, in some alternate universe, if a Republican won states because of being opposed to free trade that would be incredibly ironic.

[Ringo1]

Polling in rust-belt Pennsylvania says otherwise.

[BobNJ1960]

Originally Posted by Ringo1

Polling in rust-belt Pennsylvania says otherwise.

Bingo. Union folks are anti Free Trade. Hillary lost Michigan to Sanders over this single issue. A 20% shift of the union vote is worth 8.8% overall in Michigan (4.4% more for GOP, 4.4% less for Dems), 30% would have a 13.2% swing affect.

[BobNJ1960]

and they are terrific battles. NAFTA is a huge issue to them.

[BobNJ1960]

Originally Posted by Ringo1

Polling in rust-belt Pennsylvania says otherwise.

1.8% rcp average margin.


You were saying?

[BobNJ1960]

Originally Posted by afoigrokerkok

1) he won't win any of these states.

2) however, in some alternate universe, if a republican won states because of being opposed to free trade that would be incredibly ironic.

bump

[BobNJ1960]

Originally Posted by Ringo1

Polling in rust-belt Pennsylvania says otherwise.

Tuesday was the sole poll that mattered.

[DaBurgh]

Lol

[BobNJ1960]

Originally Posted by Ringo1

Polling in rust-belt Pennsylvania says otherwise.

How about Tuesday's Pa poll? The one that counts.