Quote:
Originally Posted by banjomike
No.
Clinton has bobbed up and down in her polls. That's a sign of no ceiling yet.
Unlike Trump, whose floor is his ceiling. His polls haven't moved in either direction for months now, and the best he does is still below Clinton by 2 points.
Trump has to capture more voters to win, period. Clinton will win right where she's at right now.
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Exactly. Trump may have the old white male vote locked up but it's not enough.
He's burned his bridges with people of color, and is trailing among college-educated white women (which is a segment that Romney got).
For Clinton, she already has established ties with the core constituencies and she just has to turn them out to vote. Fortunately she has already set up extensive state field operations (ground game) for that, while Trump has neglected that, and is more dependent on state GOP organizations to do GOTV.