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Old 08-04-2016, 10:46 PM
 
12,547 posts, read 9,946,599 times
Reputation: 6927

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Quote:
Originally Posted by Knox Harrington View Post
I heard the same stuff when we discussed polls at this point in 2008 and 2012.

Let's just come back after the election.

Both of these candidates are so well known, the numbers aren't going to change between now and election day, barring some outrageous revelation.

The GOP will lose again and they will again perform an "autopsy" and ignore the results of said "autopsy."

As I said, a leopard can't change his spots.
willing to put any money on the race not tightening between now and November? I've got a few grand to play with.
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Old 08-04-2016, 10:49 PM
 
Location: Indianapolis
2,294 posts, read 2,663,728 times
Reputation: 3151
Quote:
Originally Posted by eddiehaskell View Post
willing to put any money on the race not tightening between now and November? I've got a few grand to play with.
As do I, but I would never bet on "the race tightening."

I would never bet that the number today will be the same number once the election is decided.

Only an idiot would.

I will put money on Clinton winning the election, period.
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Old 08-04-2016, 10:55 PM
 
12,547 posts, read 9,946,599 times
Reputation: 6927
Quote:
Originally Posted by Knox Harrington View Post
As do I, but I would never bet on "the race tightening."

I would never bet that the number today will be the same number once the election is decided.

Only an idiot would.

I will put money on Clinton winning the election, period.
You're dodging - I'm willing to bet on RCP average being within margin of error - something that means today's discussion is irrelevant.
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Old 08-04-2016, 11:03 PM
 
Location: San Francisco, CA
15,088 posts, read 13,460,467 times
Reputation: 14266
Quote:
Originally Posted by saltine View Post
Desperate establishment media waging the nasty campaign. I just report the obvious.
You just report the conspiracies in your head, like most conservatives.
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Old 08-04-2016, 11:05 PM
 
Location: North America
14,204 posts, read 12,292,807 times
Reputation: 5565
Ryans fundraising email pointed out that they needed to raise money to ensure that President Clinton doesn't win the house as well. It's obvious that the GOP is starting to believe he might lose. You saw the same thing in 1996 when it was evident Dole was going to lose.
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Old 08-04-2016, 11:09 PM
 
Location: Silicon Valley, CA
13,561 posts, read 10,366,656 times
Reputation: 8252
Quote:
Originally Posted by eddiehaskell View Post
If you want to win you have to control the narrative. The left has done a good job going all out to get the narrative off Hillary corruption.
Well, Trump thinks he can control the narrative by running off his big mouth. Unfortunately for him, it hasn't been positive. Has nothing to do with the "so-called" left.
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Old 08-04-2016, 11:12 PM
 
Location: North America
14,204 posts, read 12,292,807 times
Reputation: 5565
Quote:
Originally Posted by eddiehaskell View Post
willing to put any money on the race not tightening between now and November? I've got a few grand to play with.
Sometimes they do and sometimes the grow. The key thing here is that Trumps ceiling has remaining pretty much the same for months.
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Old 08-04-2016, 11:27 PM
 
14,221 posts, read 6,971,391 times
Reputation: 6059
Quote:
Originally Posted by UB50 View Post
I'm wondering how many people have switched from Trump to someone else.... Any polls?
Thats not it. Its mostly that Hillary after the convention got a lot of Bernie supporters who previously were not there yet.
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Old 08-04-2016, 11:48 PM
 
Location: Atlanta, GA
14,834 posts, read 7,421,906 times
Reputation: 8966
No surprise that many of Trump's supporters are in the echo chamber.
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Old 08-04-2016, 11:58 PM
i7pXFLbhE3gq
 
n/a posts
Quote:
Originally Posted by eddiehaskell View Post
You're dodging - I'm willing to bet on RCP average being within margin of error - something that means today's discussion is irrelevant.
Helpful reading:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Margin_of_error

Just because something is "within the margin of error" doesn't mean it's just as likely as anything else that's also within the margin of error.
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