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Old 09-26-2018, 05:18 PM
 
Location: Pine Grove,AL
29,636 posts, read 16,646,495 times
Reputation: 6078

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Quote:
Originally Posted by WaldoKitty View Post
I don't remember that poll. But I said numerous times the LA Times poll had it right about Trump. Hence my commentary in this topic.And I specifically remember you saying the LA Times poll didn't mean anything. LAWL.
The LA times didnt do state polling, it only did popular vote . The fact that you can argue they got it right but not the hundreds of other polls that did the same is just weird .

I guess your only memory of the LA times poll is when they had Trump up in the popular vote .
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Old 09-26-2018, 05:21 PM
 
Location: Kansas City, MISSOURI
20,939 posts, read 9,649,092 times
Reputation: 15686
Quote:
Originally Posted by Tall Traveler View Post
The poll that the LA Times used for the Presidential election and their recent polling are completely different mechanisms....the methodology they used for the Presidential election proved correct and the methodology for this latest polling is the type of polling that proved so wrong last election.....based on that, I predict this latest polling by the LA Times will prove just as inaccurate as all the other polls.
Nice try. They are both the USC/LA Times. They have archives of all the older polls they've taken here:
https://dornsife.usc.edu/unruh/past-polls/
And more recent polls here:
https://dornsife.usc.edu/center-for-...l-future/poll/

Linked on the archive page, here's a write-up of their 2016 election results:
The USC/L.A. Times poll saw what other surveys missed: A wave of Trump support - Los Angeles Times

And once again, here's the most recent one:
With growing support from women, Democrats poised for major gains in midterm, new poll shows - Los Angeles Times
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Old 10-29-2018, 11:43 AM
 
Location: Kansas City, MISSOURI
20,939 posts, read 9,649,092 times
Reputation: 15686
Guess what the LA Times poll is saying now?

In a highly partisan era, those who dislike both sides could have the deciding votes

Trump approval rate:
Approve - 41%
Disapprove - 57%
Net Disapprove +16

Generic congressional poll:
Democrat - 57%
Republican - 40%
Net Democrat +17
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Old 10-29-2018, 01:18 PM
 
Location: Bella Vista, Ark
77,771 posts, read 105,092,378 times
Reputation: 49251
Quote:
Originally Posted by James Bond 007 View Post
Guess what the LA Times poll is saying now?

In a highly partisan era, those who dislike both sides could have the deciding votes

Trump approval rate:
Approve - 41%
Disapprove - 57%
Net Disapprove +16

Generic congressional poll:
Democrat - 57%
Republican - 40%
Net Democrat +17
Interesting, none of us really even know where these results really come from and who actually was polled There was a time when polls were a little more reliable. In the days prior to caller ID and cell phones we auto answered when the phone rang: now this isn't the case. I pay little attention to polls except for the fun of seeing what they are saying and I doubt many people vote based on polls.
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Old 10-29-2018, 03:10 PM
 
Location: NE Mississippi
25,681 posts, read 17,454,614 times
Reputation: 37504
IBD?
Sounds fair to me:
Quote:
A driving force behind Trump's approval rating jump was the fact that Republican support came roaring back. The October IBD/TIPP Poll shows that 84% of Republicans say they approve of the job Trump is doing. That's an eight-point jump from last month's 76%. Trump's support among independents and Democrats remained steady at 33% and 5%, respectively.
Regionally, Trump's biggest gain came from rural Americans, where his approval rating climbed to 59% this month, compared with 45% last month.

I like Rasmussen, too:
Quote:
The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Monday shows that 50% of Likely U.S. Voters approve of President Trump’s job performance. Forty-nine percent (49%) disapprove.
LA Times is not used for Real Clear Politics data. You figure out why....
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Old 11-05-2018, 07:49 AM
 
Location: Kansas City, MISSOURI
20,939 posts, read 9,649,092 times
Reputation: 15686
Quote:
Originally Posted by Listener2307 View Post
IBD?
Sounds fair to me:
... and ...
Quote:
Originally Posted by eddiehaskell View Post
IBD can REALLY tout their claim as the most accurate poll now! They should charge big money for other pollsters to see their methodology.
And now, once again, we have the latest results of the much-vaunted IBD poll:

Dems Open Up A Big Lead On Eve Of Midterms, But Trump Gets High Marks On The Economy: IBD/TIPP Pol
Quote:
With voter interest in the midterm elections at historic heights, Democrats opened up a 9-point lead over Republicans on the question of who should control Congress after the midterm elections ...
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Old 11-05-2018, 07:54 AM
 
Location: Kansas City, MISSOURI
20,939 posts, read 9,649,092 times
Reputation: 15686
And to top it off, the final LA Times poll has democrats up by 15% or 10% on the generic ballot question, depending on how they gauge likelihood of voting.

Polls point to Democratic takeover of the House, but here's what could change that - Los Angeles Times
Quote:
Overall, the poll, which has tracked voters over the last several weeks, shows Democrats ahead by 15 percentage points, 56% to 41%, when those most likely to vote said which party’s candidates they either had voted for already or expected to vote for this year.

A second measure, which factors in voters’ estimates of how likely they are to vote, puts the Democratic lead at 10 percentage points, 52% to 42%.
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Old 11-07-2018, 08:49 AM
 
Location: Kansas City, MISSOURI
20,939 posts, read 9,649,092 times
Reputation: 15686
^
With democrats beating republicans by over 9% in the overall House vote, it looks like the second measure of the LA Times poll was pretty spot on.
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