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Old 03-04-2008, 09:42 AM
 
Location: Downtown Greensboro, NC
3,491 posts, read 8,582,814 times
Reputation: 631

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March 2nd polls

TEXAS

OBAMA - 47%
Clinton - 44%

OHIO

OBAMA - 47%
Clinton - 45%

BYE BYE Hillary!
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Old 03-04-2008, 09:46 AM
 
Location: Albemarle, NC
7,730 posts, read 14,159,784 times
Reputation: 1520
The Democratic Party survey in Ohio included 828 likely voters and carries a margin of error of +/- 3.4 percentage points. The Texas survey of Democrats included 855 likely voters and carries a margin of error of +/- 3.4 percentage points. Both surveys were conducted March 1-3, 2008.

Zogby International (http://www.zogby.com/news/ReadNews.dbm?ID=1461 - broken link)

Statistically speaking, that's a dead heat among LIKELY DEMOCRATIC VOTERS. It ignores independents and Republicans who may switch. I wouldn't put much faith in a poll that only contacted Democrats and has a margin of error about the same size as the difference between the two.
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Old 03-04-2008, 09:49 AM
 
Location: Texas
8,064 posts, read 18,011,851 times
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Zogby has made it clear that he supports Obama so his poll is less than trustworthy.

The CNN poll of polls just showed Hillary with a 1-point lead in Texas, in a poll that ended yesterday.
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Old 03-04-2008, 09:53 AM
 
1,155 posts, read 1,840,120 times
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If true, that's great. It's a dead heat no matter how you slice it. It all comes down to which candidate does a better job getting their supporters to the polls.
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Old 03-04-2008, 09:53 AM
 
Location: Atlanta, GA
2,290 posts, read 5,545,887 times
Reputation: 801
Quote:
Originally Posted by gsoboi View Post
March 2nd polls

TEXAS

OBAMA - 47%
Clinton - 44%

OHIO

OBAMA - 47%
Clinton - 45%

BYE BYE Hillary!
I'm an Obama supporter, but I think this poll is too optimistic. I'm seeing more reliable polls showing a dead heat in Texas, and an 8% to 10% lead in Ohio for Clinton.

But as someone around here once said: "it's all about the delegates, baby."
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Old 03-04-2008, 09:54 AM
BVH
 
Location: Pennsylvania
944 posts, read 606,036 times
Reputation: 79
Quote:
Originally Posted by gsoboi View Post
March 2nd polls

TEXAS

OBAMA - 47%
Clinton - 44%

OHIO

OBAMA - 47%
Clinton - 45%

BYE BYE Hillary!
Hmm interesting...wher did you get your info?
Texas:
Clinton: 47%
Obama: 44%

Ohio:

Tied at 44%

It seems the "trend" is reversing.

UTICA, New York – On the strength of some strong campaigning in Ohio and Texas, Democrat Hillary Clinton of New York has retaken a narrow lead over rival Barack Obama of Illinois in Texas and has dead-locked the race in Ohio, a new Reuters/C-SPAN/Houston Chronicle survey by Zogby International shows.

Zogby International (http://www.zogby.com/news/ReadNews.dbm?ID=1461 - broken link)
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Old 03-04-2008, 10:14 AM
 
Location: Texas
8,064 posts, read 18,011,851 times
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Well, at least there's no way CNN will be able to call Texas 15 seconds after the polls close, hahahahaha. They're actually going to have to wait until we caucus -- imagine that.
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Old 03-04-2008, 10:24 AM
 
Location: Downtown Greensboro, NC
3,491 posts, read 8,582,814 times
Reputation: 631
Quote:
Originally Posted by paperhouse View Post
The Democratic Party survey in Ohio included 828 likely voters and carries a margin of error of +/- 3.4 percentage points. The Texas survey of Democrats included 855 likely voters and carries a margin of error of +/- 3.4 percentage points. Both surveys were conducted March 1-3, 2008.

Zogby International (http://www.zogby.com/news/ReadNews.dbm?ID=1461 - broken link)

Statistically speaking, that's a dead heat among LIKELY DEMOCRATIC VOTERS. It ignores independents and Republicans who may switch. I wouldn't put much faith in a poll that only contacted Democrats and has a margin of error about the same size as the difference between the two.
That only makes the case for Obama because he overwhelmingly attracts indepedents and republicans. I will say that Zogby usually is a pretty accurate poll and is not bias like other polls.
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Old 03-04-2008, 10:26 AM
 
Location: Downtown Greensboro, NC
3,491 posts, read 8,582,814 times
Reputation: 631
Quote:
Originally Posted by teatime View Post
Well, at least there's no way CNN will be able to call Texas 15 seconds after the polls close, hahahahaha. They're actually going to have to wait until we caucus -- imagine that.
and the caucuses favor OBAMA!!! Im begining to like the Texas Two Step.
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Old 03-04-2008, 10:29 AM
 
Location: Albemarle, NC
7,730 posts, read 14,159,784 times
Reputation: 1520
Quote:
Originally Posted by gsoboi View Post
That only makes the case for Obama because he overwhelmingly attracts indepedents and republicans.
Sure, if you ignore the Republicans who are voting for Hillary because they hate her. I don't want you to be surprised when you wake up tomorrow to find out Hillary has won Texas and Ohio and probably Rhode island. I'll be waiting for everyone who claims she's splitting the party to voice their support for a winner.
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