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I think Trump has a very good chance of winning re-election ... but seriously, he's not carrying most of the solidly blue states as those are the bastion of "libs" who "keep it up with their stupid stuff". My guess is that if the Democrats nominate a weak candidate, the economy is healthy and Americans perceive the country as safe and are satisfied with his leadership, he'll win all the states he carried in 2016 plus a few more:
306 - from 2016
4 - New Hampshire
10 - Minnesota
2 - Maine (statewide)
6 - Nevada
9 - Colorado
... for a total of 337. I do not see a scenario where he wins anything else, but will humbly admit the limits of my predictive competence if he proves me wrong in 2020.
The problem is Trump will be a weaker candidate in 2020 than 2016 because he will not have outsider status and draining the swamp hasn't happened. He's also forsaken those who were looking for a president to stay out of other countries affairs.
Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania will be ground zero since the next Dem will no not to take them for granted.
New Hampshire might be a battle ground but Colorado and Nevada will not be.
Plus- he will not be fortunate enough to have an opponent as unpopular as Clinton. Or as unable to read a room...
His real hope would be to move further right and pull a higher vote from his base like incumbents in 2004 and 2012. But he doesn't have the personal popularity of either of those two. And he is not guaranteed that as many folks in the middle will sit the next election out.
If libs keep it up with their stupid stuff, this is what the 2020 election would look like:
Bring it on. I'll be taking the front seat to watch them lose again.
California, Washington, Hawaii, and Vermont being red?
Those are states which would vote Dem even if the Dems ran a ticket of Jared Fogle and Andrew Anglin.
California, Washington, Hawaii, and Vermont being red?
Those are states which would vote Dem
Even if I ran my dog as a Democrat presidential candidate, those states would vote for it, no matter who's running on the (D) ticket. That's how illogical those states can be.
Yup. People are already seeing through Trump's lies and his "anti-establishment" stick is wearing thin already after filling his cabinet with more Wall Street bankers than Obama did. He's eager to feed the military industrial complex and corporate cronies. He won't have the luxury against running against a very hated, unpopular candidate in Hillary again.
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