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Democratic strategists hope that disdain for Trump will matter more to Virginia liberals than the Sanders snub. Democrats have chosen friendly turf on which to make a big stand. And all the fretting has led some Democrats to worry that worrying is the party's bigger problem. "We can't continue to angst existentially over every single race," said Colm O'Comartun, the former executive director of the Democratic Governors Association.
If Quinnipiac is an outlier in this race, they’re REALLY an outlier. I thought their last poll with a 14 point lean for Northam was outrageous. Their latest gives him a 17 point lead.
Either they’re seeing something that other pollsters are missing, or they need to examine their election model after this race.
Democratic strategists hope that disdain for Trump will matter more to Virginia liberals than the Sanders snub. Democrats have chosen friendly turf on which to make a big stand. And all the fretting has led some Democrats to worry that worrying is the party's bigger problem. "We can't continue to angst existentially over every single race," said Colm O'Comartun, the former executive director of the Democratic Governors Association.
And who would have guessed. MSNBC is using the race card. Surprised? LOL
Sanders snub in VA? Get out of here with that bs. VA is the perfect state for Clinton, which is why she did well here. There is a large minority population (speaking of snubbing, Sanders never met a person of color that he didn't dismiss) and the white liberal population is afluent. Sanders won only 3-4 cities/counties in the primary here. All of these cities were small (Poquson, Harrisonburg).
If Quinnipiac is an outlier in this race, they’re REALLY an outlier. I thought their last poll with a 14 point lean for Northam was outrageous. Their latest gives him a 17 point lead.
Either they’re seeing something that other pollsters are missing, or they need to examine their election model after this race.
I too doubt the margin is that great, but the aggregate of all polls is looking good for Northam.
Quinnipiac, apparently, doesn't like to settle for "undecided" (the Hampton poll that had Ed up by 8% had 25% undecided). Other pollsters ask if the respondent is leaning toward a candidate. Seeing as how peoples' minds on a candidate don't really change it can be assumed that a "leaning Ed" will be a vote for Ed. Undecided are still counted as undecided
I'm watching this Virginia governor's race with interest as I think it could be a harbinger of the mid-term elections.
If the Republican Gillespie wins, Trump's policies are positive for GOP candidates and more popular than Democrats or polls reflect. Hillary won Virginia by better than 5 points last November so Gillespie is facing a headwind here.
If the Democrat Northam wins, and wins by a better margin than Hillary's 5 points, Democrats will double down on anti-Trump rhetoric to defeat Republican candidates in the mid-term elections.
If Northam wins by a margin of less than 5%, the country's mood is still unreadable for Democrats and Republicans in the midterms. We will know in a few days.
I'm watching this Virginia governor's race with interest as I think it could be a harbinger of the mid-term elections.
If the Republican Gillespie wins, Trump's policies are positive for GOP candidates and more popular than Democrats or polls reflect. Hillary won Virginia by better than 5 points last November so Gillespie is facing a headwind here.
If the Democrat Northam wins, and wins by a better margin than Hillary's 5 points, Democrats will double down on anti-Trump rhetoric to defeat Republican candidates in the mid-term elections.
If Northam wins by a margin of less than 5%, the country's mood is still unreadable for Democrats and Republicans in the midterms. We will know in a few days.
What are the latest poll results? If Gillespie is within 5%. it can go either way.
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Quote:
Originally Posted by texan2yankee
I'm watching this Virginia governor's race with interest as I think it could be a harbinger of the mid-term elections.
If the Republican Gillespie wins, Trump's policies are positive for GOP candidates and more popular than Democrats or polls reflect. Hillary won Virginia by better than 5 points last November so Gillespie is facing a headwind here.
If the Democrat Northam wins, and wins by a better margin than Hillary's 5 points, Democrats will double down on anti-Trump rhetoric to defeat Republican candidates in the mid-term elections.
If Northam wins by a margin of less than 5%, the country's mood is still unreadable for Democrats and Republicans in the midterms. We will know in a few days.
Northam isnt running as anti trump though, and this race isnt during a presidential year so it is hard to try and compare turnout.
unless someone wins by a 10 point margin with high turnout, the result will say nothing of the mood of the nation.
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