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I think Mr. Costello should have run for re-election. If he had been an effective representative, he should run on his record, re-districting be darned.
It seems that many politicians have become wimps, refusing to run for re-election if they think their chance of winning is no longer a 'sure thing'.
I had always admired Phil Gramm, in some respects. Elected to the House as a Democrat, he resigned his seat (after being tossed off some committee, controlled by the Democrats), and ran for his old seat in a Special Election, as a Republican, and won handily. It was an act of political courage (although he obviously saw that Conservative Texas was abandoning the Democratic Party, in favor of the Republican party), but re-election was by no means certain.
How many Republicans are now declining to run for re-election? I recall it was 35 back in mid February.
Yes, such people will run for office if they benefit from a 'wave', like in 2016, but as soon as things start looking bad for them, they bolt. They should (save for those retiring due to health, old age, etc.) run and convince their voters that they are best suited for the job. Defend one's position. Change minds.
Last year Democrats won big locally in the county. If anything Chester is probably more liberal than Bucks now. It doesn't have much to do with transplants either. Well educated middle to upper middle class suburbanites are not nearly as Republican as they once were and Chester has a ton of those. This seat is very likely to flip.
You may be right, but previously we've always elected R's on the state, and local level. It has changed here, but if it is not because of the transplants, they certainly have helped the move to Democrat. Look up the Mariner II pipeline, and see where that stands.
There are a lot of well educated, affluent Republicans also, but it seems life in the big city burbs morphs people to become Progressive Democrats. The part of Chester County in which I live was on the edge of rural just a few years ago. Now it is suburban sprawl. Yes, there are still a lot of horse farms, and open space, but the Rt 100 corridor has become suburbia.
As for L.I. I can't believe Suffolk County went for Trump, and Nassau County was only about a 5% margin for Clinton. I've always considered L.I to be extremely liberal/progressive. Guess I was wrong.
You may be right, but previously we've always elected R's on the state, and local level. It has changed here, but if it is not because of the transplants, they certainly have helped the move to Democrat. Look up the Mariner II pipeline, and see where that stands.
There are a lot of well educated, affluent Republicans also, but it seems life in the big city burbs morphs people to become Progressive Democrats. The part of Chester County in which I live was on the edge of rural just a few years ago. Now it is suburban sprawl. Yes, there are still a lot of horse farms, and open space, but the Rt 100 corridor has become suburbia.
As for L.I. I can't believe Suffolk County went for Trump, and Nassau County was only about a 5% margin for Clinton. I've always considered L.I to be extremely liberal/progressive. Guess I was wrong.
Chester has been trending Democratic for awhile, something like 6 of the last 7 cycles. it has been moving along with the rest of suburban Philly. It just took longer to switch to the Democrats than areas like Montco since Chester was initially considerably more Republican. Since the 90's, the Democrats have gained considerable ground in traditionally Republican suburbs, (especially well educated middle to upper middle class one). Meanwhile Republicans have picked up considerable ground in many traditionally Democratic working class areas. The movement in both cases have been going on before Trump, but Trump certainly helped accelerate it and Chester is a prime example.
Chester has been trending Democratic for awhile, something like 6 of the last 7 cycles. it has been moving along with the rest of suburban Philly. It just took longer to switch to the Democrats than areas like Montco since Chester was initially considerably more Republican. Since the 90's, the Democrats have gained considerable ground in traditionally Republican suburbs, (especially well educated middle to upper middle class one). Meanwhile Republicans have picked up considerable ground in many traditionally Democratic working class areas. The movement in both cases have been going on before Trump, but Trump certainly helped accelerate it and Chester is a prime example.
Agree. PA as a whole is a BLUE state now due mainly to Philly, Pittsburgh, and its surrounding BURBS. Trump was the first President since Reagan that PA went Republican for President due to the above.
PA is a strong lean Democrat state. It however is not a solid Democrat state like others in the the northeast such as NY and MA. That is exactly why the makeup of the PA congressional delegation was so odd. The fact that 12 of the 17 congressional representatives of a Democrat state were Republicans reeks of mischief. Only massive gerrymandering forcing most of the state's registered Democrats in as few districts as possible could account for it. The PA Supreme Court looked into it and found that was exactly the intent used to create the districts.
I read that Mr. Costello's announcement has some Republicans in that area upset, for he apparently announced his decision after the deadline (I think March 20th) for another R candidate to take his place on the ballot.
From the article, today (Tuesday, the 27th) is the deadline for Mr. Costello to request that his name be removed from the ballot. According to this other article:
"If he does officially withdraw in the next 48 hours*, attorney Greg McCauley would be the only GOP candidate for the nomination. But if Costello remained on the ballot and defeated McCauley for the nomination, he could be replaced on the ballot by local and state Republicans."
As for Mr. Cain's prophecy: we shall see. While Mr. Trump has had an uptick in his approval rating secondary to the tax cuts, by November they would have receded into the background.
Indeed, many Republicans are hoping that this Omnibus bill just passed, which has a lot of 'tea party' people upset, will likewise fade into the background.
No doubt, they also hope that Mr. Trump will cease his tweeting (which a lot of people, including some supporters, dislike), although that hope is probably fruitless.
Anyway, some three dozen Republicans do not hold the cheery view of Mr. Cain, hence their deciding to not run for re-election.
Yeah, he resigned just late enough for the GOP to not to be able to run another effective candidate. It seems his main reason for retiring, even if he isn't saying it outright, is weariness of defending an indefensible president of his own party. Seems to be a common theme.
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