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I don't know, but I'm willing to guess it will be even more polarized than 2016. Urban and suburban areas will go even further left - while rural areas will go further right.
A Sanders type has a better chance than a centrist. People are still going to want change
They are not going to want to go full commie, which is what they will perceive they are going to get from the self-styled socialist, Bernie Sanders.
Sanders will not win. Of course for him to even have the opportunity, he will have to go all-in and embrace the Democrat party with both arms, as that is what the new rules require to run for the party nomination.
If Sanders runs as an independent, he will destroy the Democrats chances to win, and have exactly zero chance to win on his own.
I think he will get primaried. If not, he will win.
Odd hedge.
It all depends on if there is a recession in 2020, which some are predicting.
That's a reasonable hedge.
Now I'll go out and make a prediction. I don't see large scale capital misallocation going on now, so I don't think there will be a recession in 2020, and I think Trump will be reelected. So there I predicted both the business and political cycle, sue me.
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