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Old 08-01-2018, 10:26 AM
 
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The US Senate race in TX is tightening per the latest poll released Wed 8/1/2018.

http://thehill.com/homenews/campaign...ke-a-dead-heat

Texas Senate race between Sen. Ted Cruz (R-Texas) and Rep. Beto O'Rourke (D-Texas) is neck and neck, according to a new poll released Wednesday.The 2018 Texas Lyceum Poll showed Cruz leading O'Rourke by a hair — 41-39 percent among likely voters.

O'Rourke reported a staggering $10.4 million fundraising haul in the second quarter of the 2018 cycle.

Cruz, raised about $4.1 million in the second quarter.
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Old 08-01-2018, 10:40 AM
 
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cute
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Old 08-01-2018, 10:55 AM
 
Location: In your head, rent free
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Quote:
Originally Posted by sware2cod View Post
The US Senate race in TX is tightening per the latest poll released Wed 8/1/2018.

http://thehill.com/homenews/campaign...ke-a-dead-heat

Texas Senate race between Sen. Ted Cruz (R-Texas) and Rep. Beto O'Rourke (D-Texas) is neck and neck, according to a new poll released Wednesday.The 2018 Texas Lyceum Poll showed Cruz leading O'Rourke by a hair — 41-39 percent among likely voters.

O'Rourke reported a staggering $10.4 million fundraising haul in the second quarter of the 2018 cycle.

Cruz, raised about $4.1 million in the second quarter.
And of course as soon as you review the polling data you see that it's complete bull**** being passed off as legitimate. Why can't Democrats tell the truth just ONCE?


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Old 08-01-2018, 10:57 AM
 
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Other Republicans are winning their races easily according to the poll. Cruz appears to be in a dogfight, at least in comparison with Greg Abbott and other Republicans running for other offices. I don’t expect Beto to win, but it’s an interesting race.
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Old 08-01-2018, 11:28 AM
 
Location: Long Island (chief in S Farmingdale)
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Originally Posted by TheMoreYouKnow View Post
And of course as soon as you review the polling data you see that it's complete bull**** being passed off as legitimate. Why can't Democrats tell the truth just ONCE?

There have been quite a few polls of late showing this race getting tighter, this is the closest I have seen, but quite a few have it close. Are there any specific reasons you are saying this poll is complete bulls***??
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Old 08-01-2018, 11:33 AM
 
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Originally Posted by TheMoreYouKnow View Post
And of course as soon as you review the polling data you see that it's complete bull**** being passed off as legitimate. Why can't Democrats tell the truth just ONCE?

Did you read the actual poll results before posting?


Clinton actually had a higher percentage of the votes in 2106 than the D is currently polling. The main problem is Cruz's unpopularity. He has pissed off both those across the aisle and fair number of those in his base- both moederate Rs and Trump supporters. Importantly the race stands at 41-39 so in the end that favors Cruz since so many of the undecided would be R in Texas.


I actually believe that voter breakdown simply because so many consistent R voters have been declaring themselves independents whether they are simply fed up with the party, further to the right than the Republican party or view themselves as Libertarian. They continue to vote R but they shed their party affiliation. Lou Dobbs and a couple of other talking heads were encouraging this a few years back.
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Old 08-01-2018, 11:51 AM
 
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Originally Posted by Smash255 View Post
There have been quite a few polls of late showing this race getting tighter, this is the closest I have seen, but quite a few have it close. Are there any specific reasons you are saying this poll is complete bulls***??
not really. Most show Cruz comfortably ahead


but I keep hearing Texas is turning blue every year so maybe the libs prediction will finally come true lol
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Old 08-01-2018, 01:34 PM
 
Location: Bella Vista, Ark
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Originally Posted by Bureaucat View Post
Other Republicans are winning their races easily according to the poll. Cruz appears to be in a dogfight, at least in comparison with Greg Abbott and other Republicans running for other offices. I don’t expect Beto to win, but it’s an interesting race.
It is going to be interesting, but I hope those who are counting on the polls being right don't go to Vegas and start gambling on who will win the race.
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Old 08-01-2018, 01:35 PM
 
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Originally Posted by TheMoreYouKnow View Post
And of course as soon as you review the polling data you see that it's complete bull**** being passed off as legitimate.
What's the weighting on the poll? That's the other half (weighting) that you didn't paste and it's just as important in determining whether the polled people match the electorate.
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Old 08-01-2018, 01:36 PM
 
Location: In your head, rent free
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Originally Posted by Smash255 View Post
There have been quite a few polls of late showing this race getting tighter, this is the closest I have seen, but quite a few have it close. Are there any specific reasons you are saying this poll is complete bulls***??
Because the polling data shows that they polled an even 50/50 split Dems and Reps plus some independents when in reality there is a heavy bias towards Reps in TX as far as likely voters are concerned. Of course it would be a dead heat if you specifically poll a 50/50 split of each party. If the polling data represented the actual makeup of the TX electorate it would show Ted Cruz well ahead, just like he's been for months. Beto is raking in cash from out of state because Ted Cruz is a huge target for Democrats.
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