Ohio 12th district special election- polls show dead heat

[MAGAalot]

Originally Posted by Smash255

When it comes down to it for it to be a win for the Democrats they need to win the seat. However, considering the district if the Republicans eek out a narrow victory it is likely not a good sign for them for November.

The worst thing for Republican is an easy win.
If Republicans win easily then it'll make them too complacent in November.
So hopefully Republicans win, but only by a couple of points, so it'll spark Republican voters into action.

[Bureaucat]

Some data points to consider about Ohio CD #12 as we await returns tonight.

1. Mitt Romney carried the district by 11% in 2012.
2. Donald Trump carried the district by 11% in 2016.
3. Republicans have held the district for 35 years.
4. The district is rated [b]R+7 by Cook Political Report.
5. There are 72 seats currently held by the GOP with a more Democratic partisan lean than this one.

If it’s even close, it’s a bad sign for the R chances of keeping the house.

[JRR]

Originally Posted by magaalot

Nobody takes Democrats opinions seriously, so it makes no difference what they claim.
They are only alive to whine and cry, and everybody knows it.

So this means that Trump is a Democrat?

[MAGAalot]

Originally Posted by Bureaucat

Some data points to consider about Ohio CD #12 as we await returns tonight.

1. Mitt Romney carried the district by 11% in 2012.
2. Donald Trump carried the district by 11% in 2016.
3. Republicans have held the district for 35 years.
4. The district is rated [b]R+7 by Cook Political Report.
5. There are 72 seats currently held by the GOP with a more Democratic partisan lean than this one.

If it’s even close, it’s a bad sign for the R chaances of keeping the house.

I hope Republicans win by 1% so it motivates them into a big voter turnout in November.
An easy win is the worst result for Republicans.

[loves2read]

Originally Posted by Bureaucat

Some data points to consider about Ohio CD #12 as we await returns tonight.

1. Mitt Romney carried the district by 11% in 2012.
2. Donald Trump carried the district by 11% in 2016.
3. Republicans have held the district for 35 years.
4. The district is rated [b]R+7 by Cook Political Report.
5. There are 72 seats currently held by the GOP with a more Democratic partisan lean than this one.

If it’s even close, it’s a bad sign for the R chances of keeping the house.

Not to mention the MONEY the RNC and super PACs have poured into this race to just get it to where it is

Does anyone know what the requirements are by the state election rules if there is a close election
I mean I know it is close--but what is the margin of victory for either side that precludes having a recount?
When is a recount MANDATORY even if candidates don't request it?

[loves2read]

Originally Posted by Kibby

If the Republican wins and the margin is less than 20 points ...... Democrats will claim a WIN.
I guess we will all know in a couple of days ..... press is heavily against the GOP.

The GOP front has poured millions of $$$ into a precinct that has been SOLIDLY GOP for over 3 decades--
I would say that is a win for Democrats in the sense that they have depleted the GOP money chest for a SPECIAL election...
A special election, dude---put that into perspective
Normally a special election in a district with this history always goes to the incumbent's party w/o any real effort at all...

[Bureaucat]

Ohio CD-12 is listed as R+7 by Cook Political Report Partisan Voting Index and R+14 by FiveThirtyEight.com.

Traditionally in this district the Columbus vote is reported first and is heavily Democratic while the rural vote is solidly Republican. Experts estimate that the Democrats needs a minimum of 64% of the Franklin County (Columbus) to have a shot.

[mountainrose]

Ohio closed and FOX is showing O’Conner (D) way ahead of Balderson (R).

[EuropeanLoyalist]

Its getting closer...mostly what's being counted now is early votes.The more they count the closer it gets! Come on Balderson!