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Old 11-19-2018, 09:25 PM
 
Location: Old Mother Idaho
29,231 posts, read 22,485,256 times
Reputation: 23894

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Quote:
Originally Posted by travis t View Post
BTW, I have to admit that I was one of those who predicted that the handling of Brett Kavanaugh by Senate Democrats would motivate GOP voters and independents, and hurt Dem candidates. Maybe it did in a few cases, such as Heitkamp and McCaskill, but overall it apparently didn't hurt Democrats.

I thought that with so many normally low-info people following the hearings, it would boost turnout and boost the GOP vote. Obviously that didn't happen.
I think the Kavanaugh kerfuffle peaked too early and died too quietly to have much steam left in it by the election.

By then, Trump wasn't even trying to sell it to his base. He was banging the fear drum on the Honduran caravan instead.

The combination, though, may have increased his base's motivation to turn out and vote.
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Old 11-20-2018, 02:28 AM
 
Location: Phoenix
3,211 posts, read 2,255,060 times
Reputation: 2607
Quote:
Originally Posted by travis t View Post
I keep hearing about turnout records being smashed in the 2018 midterms, but little explanation as to why. Overall turnout was 49.2, the highest since 1914, and about a 33% increase over 2014, when overall turnout was under 37%. This article says that it was due to President Trump.
Donald Trump Drove Record 2018 Midterm Election Turnout | Time

This makes sense, and there doesn't seem to be much alternative reason. President Obama was somewhat of a turnout guru, having doubled turnout in Iowa in 2008, which was his launch-pad. Obama also once noted the Democrats generally did not normally turn out for mid-terms. Not this time!



Any opinions on why?


Yeah, people offended by things Trump said were motivated to vote as were people benefitting from his policies.
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Old 11-20-2018, 11:24 AM
 
Location: OH->FL->NJ
17,025 posts, read 12,647,137 times
Reputation: 8939
The Dem overreach on Kavanaugh helped energize Republicans in Republican states.
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Old 11-20-2018, 12:23 PM
 
Location: Long Island
32,832 posts, read 19,556,153 times
Reputation: 9633
Quote:
Originally Posted by banjomike View Post
.

Universal healthcare was a big one. Now that people have been using the ACA for a while, everyone who doesn't presently qualify for it wants in on it.

.
the ACA destroyed the good healthcare plan I have...


I want out of it
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Old 11-21-2018, 07:55 AM
 
11,986 posts, read 5,323,602 times
Reputation: 7284
Quote:
Originally Posted by travis t View Post
BTW, I have to admit that I was one of those who predicted that the handling of Brett Kavanaugh by Senate Democrats would motivate GOP voters and independents, and hurt Dem candidates. Maybe it did in a few cases, such as Heitkamp and McCaskill, but overall it apparently didn't hurt Democrats.

I thought that with so many normally low-info people following the hearings, it would boost turnout and boost the GOP vote. Obviously that didn't happen.
It helped in rural Red State Senate races, but it had little to no effect in suburbia.
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Old 11-21-2018, 08:45 AM
 
Location: Cape Cod
24,690 posts, read 17,427,197 times
Reputation: 36017
Quote:
Originally Posted by WaldoKitty View Post
One word.



Trump





Love Loathe or Lump the guy he does get people energized and motivated.

The 2020 elections are going to be "Biggly" dare I say "HUUGE".



Trumps campaign was the stuff of legends and his Presidency a case study that will be talked about like no other from classrooms to kitchen tables round the world.



Trumps influence has been a positive for America.
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Old 11-21-2018, 09:18 AM
 
Location: Planet Telex
5,902 posts, read 3,922,542 times
Reputation: 5860
Quote:
Originally Posted by workingclasshero View Post
the ACA destroyed the good healthcare plan I have...

I want out of it
Just wait until Trump delivers on his campaign promise of "everyone's gonna have health care and the government is gonna pay for it" plan. It's going to be terrific.
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Old 11-21-2018, 02:57 PM
 
Location: Clyde Hill, WA
6,061 posts, read 2,024,343 times
Reputation: 2167
Quote:
Originally Posted by ottomobeale View Post
The Dem overreach on Kavanaugh helped energize Republicans in Republican states.
It also is possible that voters linked it to the Senate but not the House, since the hearing was in the senate. That could explain why the GOP gained Senate seats while it was losing so many house seats.
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Old 11-21-2018, 03:15 PM
 
34,289 posts, read 19,443,787 times
Reputation: 17261
Quote:
Originally Posted by travis t View Post
It also is possible that voters linked it to the Senate but not the House, since the hearing was in the senate. That could explain why the GOP gained Senate seats while it was losing so many house seats.

You DO know it was the same voters right? It has FAR more to do with Republicans defending fewer seats then democrats. 2020 will most likely lose them the senate when they defend more Republican seats.
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Old 11-21-2018, 03:39 PM
 
3,362 posts, read 1,243,944 times
Reputation: 2305
Quote:
Originally Posted by workingclasshero View Post
the ACA destroyed the good healthcare plan I have...


I want out of it
You are speaking for yourself, not the majority.
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