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Old 10-21-2020, 01:03 PM
 
Location: Placitas, New Mexico
2,304 posts, read 2,964,886 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Wittgenstein's Ghost View Post
The post I was responding to specifically referenced the "national polls," so that's what I was referring to.
The USA Today/Suffolk University poll just out has Biden leading in Pennsylvania by 6%. Pennsylvania is still slipping away from Trump there.
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Old 10-21-2020, 01:08 PM
 
2,643 posts, read 2,445,348 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ABQSunseeker View Post
The USA Today/Suffolk University poll just out has Biden leading in Pennsylvania by 6%. Pennsylvania is still slipping away from Trump there.
PA never "slipped away" from Trump. He never had it in the first place. He was always going to lose the state. He's gonna lose it by 8%+
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Old 10-21-2020, 01:14 PM
 
Location: Placitas, New Mexico
2,304 posts, read 2,964,886 times
Reputation: 2193
Quote:
Originally Posted by lkm370 View Post
PA never "slipped away" from Trump. He never had it in the first place. He was always going to lose the state. He's gonna lose it by 8%+
I agree. But in their mind's eye Trump was staging a comeback and it was slipping away from Biden.
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Old 10-21-2020, 01:57 PM
 
5,938 posts, read 4,703,229 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by paracord View Post
And wait, do you still think Biden is going to win the popular vote by TEN???

That may be the first place you're going wrong here. HAHA.

The last guy to win the PV by 10+ was Reagan in 84. A time in America where it was possible to win 49 states....Where a republican easily won California. Come on now.
I'm not saying Biden will win by 10. I'm saying a generic candidate isn't going to win by a large margin and lose Ohio. By nature of Ohio being a somewhat elastic state, if someone wins by 10 points, they are going to take Ohio and Florida along for the ride naturally.

If Ohio equated to winning the election, candidates wouldn't bother with Florida or North Carolina or Pennsylvania. What you are talking about is coincidence. Coincidence that suits your narrative.

Let's go back and talk about "imploding in Pennsylvania."

September 18th, Biden up by 4.0 points in Pennsylvania with 48.7% support to Trump's 44.7% support. This was before the SCOTUS vacancy. Before the first debate. Before we learned Trump pays more taxes to China than to the United States. Before his coronavirus diagnosis.

Here we are on October 21st. Biden is up by 4.2 points in Pennsylvania. Biden has gained 0.3 points. Trump has gained 0.1 points. That's imploding? It is the same shtick Trumpers talk about whenever they mention "Clinton was up 7.1 points on October 18th and lost!" Funny how we haven't heard that since... October 18th. That's cherry picking. The same way you cherry picked Biden's PA lead at the height of a bounce caused by Trump.

If you want to say "his bounce from Trump's quadruple whammy is gone." That's fine. It has nothing to do with Biden. He didn't implode. He's right back where he started. And he just ran out another 12 minutes on the game clock in the 4th quarter while giving up nothing, essentially gaining in the end.
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