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Given where we are in the polls, 340 is not far-fetched at all. Biden has a better than 50% chance of winning Pennsylvania and if you think Florida is a toss-up, then he's got a 50% chance of winning there too. He wins both Florida and Penn then 340 is easy.
Failed math?
The only way mathematically Biden could get 340 would be to win all the battleground states AND either Texas or Georgia.
That's actually not true. He can get to 340 by winning all battlegrounds except OH and GA. Would not need TX.
340 is super unlikely, but it is possible without winning every battleground state plus TX or GA as you said.
BTW, GA is a battleground state now, it's a toss-up.
So is TX now. Both Cook Political and NBC have moved if from Lean R to toss up in the past day. These things don't happen in isolation. You gotta think that if TX is a toss up this is not going to be a nail biter election.
Location: Foothills of Maryland Blue Ridge mountains
993 posts, read 766,406 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by bu2
The only way Biden could get 340 is if the Democrats hack the system and steal the election in Texas and Georgia. Anybody who says its 340-350 isn't making much sense. More likely Trump gets 340.
I don’t think this scenario is implausible. And Trump wins both Texas and Georgia. https://www.270towin.com/
You really should be banned for such trash posting like this.
... and you should really mind your own business and go back to your garbage posts about how orange man bad. But since I'm 99.9999999% sure that you have already reported the post... I removed the linked image. Happy now? ... and no, I wouldn't be "banned." I've linked images like that dozens of times and the mods just delete them after people like you cry about it. I know that's what happens because all my rep comments that I've gotten show the post as "N/A" which means it was deleted.
Cry me a river now... no... just wait till after the election. You are definitely the most annoying TDS poster here. You should feel special.
BTW, I'm glad you made the comment... because it was a great opportunity to give you a piece of my mind. I'm a lot like Trump in that way...
#TRUMP2020
Quote:
Originally Posted by evilnewbie
You are kidding right? Trump has had much worse...
I don't really consider OH, GA or TX battleground states. They won't be blowouts for Trump, but its very unlikely he loses.
They are battleground states only if you consider Oregon a battleground state. All are safe for one party, but close enough you can't ignore them.
Whether you consider them battlegrounds or not is irrelevant. Fact is they are battlegrounds, Trump is tied in GA and only up by around 4 points in TX and OH. Is it unlikely he will lose them? Sure, but it's also quite possible he could. Biden's chances in those states are about the same Trump had in WI, MI, PA in 2016.
As for considering Oregon a battleground if we consider TX, GA, OH ones? Total logical fallacy, Biden leads Oregon by 12 points, it's a solid blue state, there is no comparison to TX, GA, or OH.
Last edited by WrongStreet; 10-28-2020 at 11:23 AM..
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