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Kari Lake has formally filed to run for U.S. Senate in Arizona.
The conservative firebrand and ardent Donald Trump supporter had teased a run for weeks with expectations of a campaign launch for early October. National Republicans had initially been skittish on her candidacy after she lost the governor’s race in 2022 and launched a multi-month effort to challenge the validity of that vote.
But she has remained active in GOP politics since then, meeting with D.C. officials and staying particularly close to Trump. She spent Tuesday on Capitol Hill meeting with senators ahead of her expected launch next week.
Good news for the Democrats. She will knock off any moderate R candidate who would waltz to victory in still-red Arizona. Then again, the Dems have problems of their own with Sinema. If Sinema runs third party then Lake wins.
Good news for the Democrats. She will knock off any moderate R candidate who would waltz to victory in still-red Arizona. Then again, the Dems have problems of their own with Sinema. If Sinema runs third party then Lake wins.
Actually, bad news for the Democrats. Sinema is planning on running, as she is fundraising.
So basically, Sinema and Ruben Gallego have to split the Katie Hobbs votes or the anti Kari Lake votes, resulting in Kari Lake winning.
The AZ Senate race might be one of the most interesting to see,.
Good news for the Democrats. She will knock off any moderate R candidate who would waltz to victory in still-red Arizona. Then again, the Dems have problems of their own with Sinema. If Sinema runs third party then Lake wins.
Sinema is toast at this point most Dems despise her now and I can't see many Republicans voting for her over Lake.
But she might help Lake get elected
Gallego might have a serious shot at being the next Senator I never thought someone like Hobbs could be governor but here we are.
Actually, bad news for the Democrats. Sinema is planning on running, as she is fundraising.
So basically, Sinema and Ruben Gallego have to split the Katie Hobbs votes or the anti Kari Lake votes, resulting in Kari Lake winning.
The AZ Senate race might be one of the most interesting to see,.
Nope, not likely, a whole bunch of unlikely things would have to go right for her. Article below is about Sinema but the 3 polls so far show Lake losing regardless.
Modeling three-way races is extremely difficult, but there is little evidence at the moment to suggest that Democrats would be hurt decisively by Sinema entering the race. In fact, the most recent polls of the three-way race, from pollsters Noble Predictive Insights (Gallego +8), Public Policy Polling (Gallego +7), and Emerson College (Gallego +7), all have Democrats leading by a healthy margin — in fact, in Emerson’s poll, Gallego’s margin improves with the addition of an independent Sinema candidacy. In each case, Republicans were more favorable towards Sinema’s candidacy than Democrats were, likely because of the significant friction that has built up between Sinema and the Democratic base due to her various votes and rhetorical stances over the last few years.
If the GOP candidate is election denier Kari Lake, for example, the new PPP survey shows that Gallego would pull in 42 percent of the vote, Lake 35 percent, and Sinema just 14 percent.
In a head-to-head matchup between Gallego (D), independent Senator Kyrsten Sinema, and Mark Lamb (R), 36% support Gallego, 29% support Lamb, 21% support Sinema, and 15% are undecided.
Last edited by James Bond 007; 10-03-2023 at 09:23 PM..
Gallego is a progressive and has voted 100% inline with Biden. Biden has a 39% approval in the state and sinking. Gallego called for expelling every Russian university student from the United States in 2022 which is bigotry and racist and extreme. I don't know how Biden is going to help Gallego when he has voted 100% inline with Biden in a 3 way race with a former Democrat that is a moderate.
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