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I think this is the shortest amount of time you've spent going from "Who cares about the national polls" to "Look at the national polls! My guy is only losing by a little!"
I think it was just a matter of hours this time.
Heh, took the words right out of my mouth. My jaw was on the floor reading this thread...wasn't this the poster saying "Who CARES about the national polls? It's the state polls that count"? Or am I mistaken?
I think this is the shortest amount of time you've spent going from "Who cares about the national polls" to "Look at the national polls! My guy is only losing by a little!"
I think it was just a matter of hours this time.
McCain is the most loved almost there candidate of all time. He may make it by election day but this is becoming a hoot.
Heh, took the words right out of my mouth. My jaw was on the floor reading this thread...wasn't this the poster saying "Who CARES about the national polls? It's the state polls that count"? Or am I mistaken?
I really think the tweaking of party affiliation is the likely culprit in that Hotline poll. 5 points overnight just doesn't wash unless they have adjusted the sampling.
I know Rasmussen is using a 6% oversampling of democrats this week. Gallup 8-10%. CNN doesn't list how they weight the polls, which is suspicious to say the least. The CBS poll is using 9% oversampling of democrats. NBC used 8%.
Once again, sanrene there are more dems than there are republicans.
Dems 40%
Reps 38%
Ind 18%
That is the sampling the diego poll used. I also find it hard to believe that the independents in the poll gave McCain an 8 point lead on the economy.
Basically, that's what I'm saying. But you guys seem to care so I thought I'd point out to you that not all the national polls are showing the same things. I mean, if you're going to post the national polls, post all of them, the good, the bad and the ugly.
I still believe that they are fudging the numbers, whether they are polls that favor obama or McCain.
What do you think caused the Hotline poll to swing 5 points overnight?
I really think the tweaking of party affiliation is the likely culprit in that Hotline poll. 5 points overnight just doesn't wash unless they have adjusted the sampling.
I know Rasmussen is using a 6% oversampling of democrats this week. Gallup 8-10%. CNN doesn't list how they weight the polls, which is suspicious to say the least. The CBS poll is using 9% oversampling of democrats. NBC used 8%.
For someone who says she doesn't care about polls, it's evident you spend a large portion of every day dissecting and studying them. More than anyone else on this forum
I think it obvious who cares about the national polls. I'm just pointing out those polls you bots ignore. I still don't care - just doing you a favor.
Quote:
it's evident you spend a large portion of every day dissecting and studying them
Um...no. All it takes is a little bit of curiosity to actually LOOK and READ. Click, open the poll, go to the demographics. I ASSume you've never done that.
I think it obvious who cares about the national polls. I'm just pointing out those polls you bots ignore. I still don't care - just doing you a favor.
Um...no. All it takes is a little bit of curiosity to actually LOOK and READ. Click, open the poll, go to the demographics. I ASSume you've never done that.
I am a Bot and I ignore none: FiveThirtyEight.com: Electoral Projections Done Right
Today's Polls, 10/6
Are John McCain's negative attacks succeeding in eating into some of Barack Obama's support? They certainly aren't yet. In fact, Barack Obama has had perhaps his strongest individual polling day of the year
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