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Old 10-11-2008, 11:09 AM
 
Location: Charlotte
12,642 posts, read 15,624,161 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by tigerlily View Post
In the 2004 election, John Kerry was not competitive in red states; i.e, North Carolina, Virginia. The fact that Obama is competitive in these southern states means there is no comparison between the elections.
Makes sense.
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Old 10-11-2008, 06:16 PM
 
31,689 posts, read 41,099,678 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by momonkey View Post
OK, it's now 3:45am where I am and the new national RCP average won't be out until 9:30 am. As it stands right now, the split is 5.1% as of 10/08/2008 in favor of Obama, down from 6.9% just two days earlier. The Obama camp lost 0.8% and McCain gained a full point. These numbers do not include third party candidates. When Barr and Nader are included, the split narrows to 4.2%. No information is available at this time on Green Party super liberal candidate Cynthia MacKinney's effect, but common sense would dictate that she will pull most of her support from the Obama camp and narrow the race even further. And let's not forget about the "Bubba" vote that could siphon off as much as 7% that is not counted now.
Hmmmm so what happened? Here it is as of today.
RCP Average 10/03 - 10/10 -- 49.9 42.3 Obama +7.6

Independent readers anxiously await your analysis.
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