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The website RealClearPolitics.com has an average of all polls, with Obama at 50.4%, Mc Cain 43%. Their intra date live quotes, a sort of "betting" average, shows Obama's chances of winning at 86% and Mc Cain 13.5%. Finally, their electoral vote map shows Obama at 286 and Mc Cain at 160, with 92 Toss-Up, so basically even if all Toss Up's went to Mc Cain, he would still lose, do you think think their analysis is accurate or we will be surprised in 2 weeks?