McCain's Chances Slimmer Than Ever (polls, statistics, Obama, good news) - Elections

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McCain's Chances Slimmer Than Ever (polls, statistics, Obama, good news)

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11-01-2008, 12:08 PM

meson

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John McCain is hanging by a pretty thin thread, writes statistics guru Nate Silver at fivethirtyeight.com, and that thread is Pennsylvania. Two polls show a slight narrowing in Keystone country; one shows Obama’s lead down to 10 points, while another, right-leaning poll puts it at 5. But with no other good news for the Arizona senator yesterday, his overall win percentage probability fell to a new nadir of 2.8%.

FiveThirtyEight.com: Electoral Projections Done Right: Today's Polls, 10/31

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