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Old 08-26-2010, 04:42 PM
 
Location: Long Island (chief in S Farmingdale)
22,257 posts, read 19,575,089 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by sanrene View Post
Before, after and during, according to you.

The meme is incredible.

Sorry, but Rasmussen is a top pollster, whether you like it or not.
I think Rasmussen is better when you get closer to the General Election (sometime after Labor Day) but prior to then its questionable. Also Rasmussen has put up some very weird numbers right after the Primary this year. Regardless, the numbers in this race have been bouncing all over the place. Until we several polls in a row showing a similar result I don't think we can read too much into it.
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Old 08-26-2010, 09:12 PM
 
Location: Chicagoland
41,325 posts, read 45,074,672 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Smash255 View Post
I think Rasmussen is better when you get closer to the General Election (sometime after Labor Day) but prior to then its questionable. Also Rasmussen has put up some very weird numbers right after the Primary this year. Regardless, the numbers in this race have been bouncing all over the place. Until we several polls in a row showing a similar result I don't think we can read too much into it.
Yeah, you said that about the CT race.

The last two polls were 10 & 7.
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Old 08-26-2010, 09:19 PM
 
Location: Long Island (chief in S Farmingdale)
22,257 posts, read 19,575,089 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by sanrene View Post
Yeah, you said that about the CT race.

The last two polls were 10 & 7.
Yes, and the poll after the Primary was 3, and Rasmussen is still the only pollster to have any polls in that race in single digits.
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Old 08-27-2010, 06:29 AM
 
Location: South Fla
9,644 posts, read 9,874,131 times
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Rubio 40, Crist 30, Meek 21Rubio +10
Toplines - Florida Senate - August 25, 2010 - Rasmussen Reports™

Yeah so much for "Rasmussen poll shows Charlie Crist leading Marco Rubio in Florida Senate race"
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Old 08-27-2010, 01:40 PM
 
Location: Bella Vista, Ark
77,770 posts, read 105,237,377 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Jadex View Post
Rubio 40, Crist 30, Meek 21Rubio +10
Toplines - Florida Senate - August 25, 2010 - Rasmussen Reports™

Yeah so much for "Rasmussen poll shows Charlie Crist leading Marco Rubio in Florida Senate race"
You are not going to convince the libs even when the election is over and Rubio wins. They will find something to explain the polls are not right or it is still too soon.

Nita
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Old 08-27-2010, 04:45 PM
 
Location: Long Island (chief in S Farmingdale)
22,257 posts, read 19,575,089 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by nmnita View Post
You are not going to convince the libs even when the election is over and Rubio wins. They will find something to explain the polls are not right or it is still too soon.

Nita
How about lets wait for a few polls to agree with this one, or go with the average method of all polls, instead of sticking to the one that shows the best results for the GOP....

We should at least wait to see if other polls are backing this up and get away from the Post Primary bounce in which Rasmussen has thrown up some odd figures (McMahon within 3, Paul up 25, Boozman up 38, etc) before we start suggesting Rubio has it in the bag
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Old 08-27-2010, 04:51 PM
 
Location: Chicagoland
41,325 posts, read 45,074,672 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Smash255 View Post
How about lets wait for a few polls to agree with this one, or go with the average method of all polls, instead of sticking to the one that shows the best results for the GOP....

We should at least wait to see if other polls are backing this up and get away from the Post Primary bounce in which Rasmussen has thrown up some odd figures (McMahon within 3, Paul up 25, Boozman up 38, etc) before we start suggesting Rubio has it in the bag
Ras might have been on to something with the CT race, which is tightening and definitely the AR race, which has Boozman up by 30+ points.

3 polls;

RealClearPolitics - Election 2010 - Florida Senate - Rubio vs. Meek vs. Crist
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Old 08-27-2010, 05:07 PM
 
Location: Long Island (chief in S Farmingdale)
22,257 posts, read 19,575,089 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by sanrene View Post
Ras might have been on to something with the CT race, which is tightening and definitely the AR race, which has Boozman up by 30+ points.

3 polls;

RealClearPolitics - Election 2010 - Florida Senate - Rubio vs. Meek vs. Crist
The closest non Rasmussen poll in Connecticut has been 10. In the case of Arkansas, no question Boozman is winning and winning big, but Rasmussen has by far the largest lead. Most polls range from the high teens to mid 20's.

In the case of Florida, in between those three polls is a poll which shows Crist up by 7. Out of the last five polls, two show Crist up, three show Rubio up
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Old 08-27-2010, 05:20 PM
 
Location: Chicagoland
41,325 posts, read 45,074,672 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Smash255 View Post
The closest non Rasmussen poll in Connecticut has been 10. In the case of Arkansas, no question Boozman is winning and winning big, but Rasmussen has by far the largest lead. Most polls range from the high teens to mid 20's.

In the case of Florida, in between those three polls is a poll which shows Crist up by 7. Out of the last five polls, two show Crist up, three show Rubio up
Wrong; Well, if you want to go back 6+ months.

RealClearPolitics - Election 2010 - Arkansas Senate - Boozman vs. Lincoln

Looks like Rubio is surging. Meeks winning should help Rubio.

Avg - Rubio, 2.4%
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Old 08-27-2010, 05:39 PM
 
Location: Long Island (chief in S Farmingdale)
22,257 posts, read 19,575,089 times
Reputation: 5370
Quote:
Originally Posted by sanrene View Post
Wrong; Well, if you want to go back 6+ months.

RealClearPolitics - Election 2010 - Arkansas Senate - Boozman vs. Lincoln

Looks like Rubio is surging. Meeks winning should help Rubio.

Avg - Rubio, 2.4%

Again, no one is even close to that Rasmussen poll in Arkansas. Boozman is up big, and will win, no question about that, but that 38 point lead is no where even remotely close to anyone else.

Average for Rubio is 2.4%, and he might be surging, however key word is might. All I'm saying is lets give it a couple more polls. He hasn't been ahead in enough polls yet to really say he is pulling away or taken a real lead. Perhaps he is, but with the last 5 polls only a 3-2 advantage, its just too early to tell.
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