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Old 05-11-2010, 10:01 PM
 
Location: Chicagoland
41,325 posts, read 44,944,793 times
Reputation: 7118

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National Democrats Pull Out Of Hawaii Special Election - Politics News Story - KITV Honolulu (http://www.kitv.com/politics/23514209/detail.html - broken link)

Quote:
The Democratic Congressional Committee said Monday it will cease pouring money into Hawaii's 1st Congressional District special election.

DCCC has spent $314,000 to try to block front running Republican Charles Djou from winning the seat long held by Hawaii democrats.

The May 22nd winner take all special election is to fill the remainder of the term of Democrat Neil Abercrombie who stepped down in February to run for Hawaii Governor.
Simply amazing.

More amazing - The NRCC hasn't spent one red dime in the race. Very, very smart.

The Fix - How do you solve a problem like Hawaii?

Quote:
Over the past month, it's become increasingly clear that, unless something major changes, Democrats are likely to come up short in the May 22 special election in Hawaii's 1st district.

In a last ditch attempt to influence the race, the White House leaked a survey out to Politico's Ben Smith last night that suggested that Hanabusa not only couldn't win but that by staying in the race she would almost certainly cost the party a seat.
A clear case of national party leadership meddling in the affairs of local politics, which in Hawaii they don't seem to like.

Hanabusa has the backing of the two Senators.
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Old 05-11-2010, 10:11 PM
 
Location: Long Island (chief in S Farmingdale)
22,190 posts, read 19,462,661 times
Reputation: 5305
This has more to do with Hawaii's quirky special election rules which Primaries are not a part of than any meddling with national parties. GOP may win this seat next week (looks like they will) but they are unlikely to hold it after a General in November.
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Old 05-11-2010, 10:12 PM
 
26,680 posts, read 28,670,280 times
Reputation: 7943
Quote:
Originally Posted by sanrene View Post
Simply amazing.
What's amazing about it?
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Old 05-12-2010, 05:38 AM
 
Location: Chicagoland
41,325 posts, read 44,944,793 times
Reputation: 7118
Quote:
Originally Posted by Smash255 View Post
This has more to do with Hawaii's quirky special election rules which Primaries are not a part of than any meddling with national parties. GOP may win this seat next week (looks like they will) but they are unlikely to hold it after a General in November.
More excuses. Will you come up with one for EVERY race where the democrat is losing?
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Old 05-12-2010, 10:08 AM
 
Location: Long Island (chief in S Farmingdale)
22,190 posts, read 19,462,661 times
Reputation: 5305
Quote:
Originally Posted by sanrene View Post
More excuses. Will you come up with one for EVERY race where the democrat is losing?
What is not true about my statement here?? The special election rules do not have Primaries so anyone who wants to run can get on the ballot. In this case we have two Democrats running and splitting the vote. The General Election in November will have Primaries prior to them and you will only have one member of each party on the ballot in November. No Democratic vote splitting = No Dijou winning with 38-40% of the vote.
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Old 05-12-2010, 11:06 AM
 
Location: Chicagoland
41,325 posts, read 44,944,793 times
Reputation: 7118
Quote:
Originally Posted by Smash255 View Post
What is not true about my statement here?? The special election rules do not have Primaries so anyone who wants to run can get on the ballot. In this case we have two Democrats running and splitting the vote. The General Election in November will have Primaries prior to them and you will only have one member of each party on the ballot in November. No Democratic vote splitting = No Dijou winning with 38-40% of the vote.
Not necessarily true. Dijou seems to be "homegrown" and could keep the seat.
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Old 05-12-2010, 11:17 AM
 
9,891 posts, read 10,823,821 times
Reputation: 3108
Quote:
Originally Posted by AnUnidentifiedMale View Post
What's amazing about it?
Its Amazing, that a party that is in such disarray as the Republicans, you know with all the purging and what not that they are winning yet another post,TFBPOTUS, in his place of birth no less! So the question is.............do the Republicans actually have winning messages and strategies.....................or is this just another referendum on TFBPOTUS.
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Old 05-12-2010, 11:20 AM
 
Location: Long Island (chief in S Farmingdale)
22,190 posts, read 19,462,661 times
Reputation: 5305
Quote:
Originally Posted by sanrene View Post
Not necessarily true. Dijou seems to be "homegrown" and could keep the seat.

Keep in mind the turnout will be higher in November. In Hawaii they have a Senate race and Governor's race topping the ticket. Leading the Dems on the top of the ticket for Gov is Neal Abercrombie (who was the former Congressman for this seat) which will help drive turnout. When you take the larger turnout combined with him facing off against one Democrat not two, the chances for him keeping the seat diminish quite a bit. If Dijou can surprise and winds up getting somewhere in the upper 40's on Tuesday then I might be willing to believe he perhaps has a chance. However, if he pulls somewhere in the upper 30's or low 40's I think his chances become extremely remote of holding it in November..
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