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Old 02-28-2020, 07:56 PM
 
518 posts, read 398,705 times
Reputation: 470

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Virologist Christian Drosten from Germany's most prestigious Charité university hospital in Berlin stated, that he thinks that 60-70% of Germany's population will get infected by the spread of Coronoavirus. 60-70% of its 81 million inhabitants are 48~56 million Germans.
He says that "Germans like to travel and therefore Germany will be in the epicentre of the European coronavirus". Drosten appeared on the TV show Maybritt Illner to express his views.
Interestingly, he did not say that up to 60-70% potentially might get infected, instead he said that between 60% and 70% will likely get infected by Coronavirus.

Until today, I was sceptical towards the power of Coronavirus and thought of it as greatly overexaggereted, however it has changed.
Seeing how dense West-Central Europe is, and how now experts share the opinion that "this is just the beginning", I think that this is alarming. Very alarming and kinda shocking. If Germany reaches this high level of infections, the rest of Europe will follow soon.
Unlike Italy and China, who are putting masses under quarantine, Germany is doing nothing at all.

What do you think? Is Germany's decision to do nothing "right"? Or can we blame Germany for putting Europe at risk? Do you consider it as ultra-neoliberal, so that it will always put economic considerations over what is best for its people? Even Switzerland decided to cancel events with over 1000 participiants, while Germany is still doing nothing.


It's all over the news:
https://www.mainpost.de/ueberregiona...rt112,10413860
https://www.greenpeace-magazin.de/ti...-derzeit-klein
https://www.bz-berlin.de/deutschland...in-deutschland
https://www.tagesschau.de/inland/cor...erten-101.html
https://www.handelsblatt.com/dpa/wir...9DfeaRpWZt-ap1
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Old 02-28-2020, 08:47 PM
 
Location: Tricity, PL
61,753 posts, read 87,217,162 times
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We will see...
They aren't fools.
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Old 02-28-2020, 09:05 PM
 
Location: Tricity, PL
61,753 posts, read 87,217,162 times
Reputation: 131757
Quote:
What do you think? Is Germany's decision to do nothing "right"? Or can we blame Germany for putting Europe at risk? Do you consider it as ultra-neoliberal, so that it will always put economic considerations over what is best for its people? Even Switzerland decided to cancel events with over 1000 participiants, while Germany is still doing nothing.
Why are you saying that they aren't doing anything?
They are observing what's going on, cancelling events etc. The Robert-Koch-Institut is holding daily meetings.
They will do whatever is needed when is needed.
They aren't "putting Europe at risk".

https://m.dw.com/de/coronavirus-deut...nik/a-52573008

According to the first link you posted:
"Germany is excellently prepared for the lung disease Covid-19".
And that's all you need to worry about. Do you live in Germany?
Italy has a bigger problem.

Last edited by elnina; 02-28-2020 at 09:38 PM..
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Old 02-28-2020, 09:26 PM
 
23 posts, read 8,864 times
Reputation: 26
50,000,000

Sorta doubt this.

Maybe 50 tops.
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Old 02-28-2020, 09:31 PM
 
Location: Tricity, PL
61,753 posts, read 87,217,162 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by 3b8zGirl View Post
50,000,000

Sorta doubt this.

Maybe 50 tops.
I think they are past that already.
"Around 1,000 people were in quarantine in Germany's most populous state Friday, as the number of confirmed cases of novel coronavirus in Europe's biggest economy rose above 50."
As of right now they have 60 confirmed cases.
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/#countries
https://www.webcamtaxi.com/en/china/...-hospital.html <<< seems to be updated faster.
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Old 02-29-2020, 02:50 AM
 
Location: Tricity, PL
61,753 posts, read 87,217,162 times
Reputation: 131757
Quote:
Originally Posted by QuebecOpec View Post
He says that "Germans like to travel and therefore Germany will be in the epicentre of the European coronavirus".
Yes, they like to travel, but they aren't the ones who travel the most:
https://www.worldatlas.com/articles/...-the-most.html

FYI: European countries that travel the most include Sweden, Denmark, Austria, Finland, and Ireland.
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Old 02-29-2020, 04:45 AM
 
5,214 posts, read 4,026,336 times
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well countries like Germany or America will never decide to limit the amount of immigrants even if they carry some zombie virus from a horror movie, so he's probably not that off assuming the first corona virus case was a traveller from China and not even German abroad: as it's getting warmer more and more Chinese citizens will go to Germany and also their favorite tourist destinations (France and Italy). For now eastern europe is the safest (excluding tourist-known Prague).
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Old 02-29-2020, 07:04 AM
 
Location: the dairyland
1,222 posts, read 2,280,270 times
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What is your authority to say they are doing "nothing"? I would be much more concerned about Italy and even more so about Iran. In any case, we can assume that there are thousands of infected people already all over Europe and North America who are unaware.
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Old 02-29-2020, 07:45 AM
 
24,601 posts, read 10,921,225 times
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He has his moment of fame and is working it. As far as his statement that Germans like to travel - I abhor traveling!
News and media are feasting on virus news blowing what sells out of proportion and skipping the rest.
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Old 02-29-2020, 08:05 AM
 
12,022 posts, read 11,581,758 times
Reputation: 11136
The average person has several colds or flu each year. If each cold or flu virus infects half the population, there are about 6-12 coronavirus variations going around each year and invading humans, not necessarily making them sick. The statement about the raw number of infected people sounds ominous but it lacks perspective. I think there's something on the order of 30 similar viruses, and people get coughs, fever, aches and pains all the time, and not all of the symptoms, if any.
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