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1. New Orleans: I expect New Orleans to post a gain. The population loss it posted was b/c Katrina, not normal migration patterns. The city continues to rebuild and IMO is on a positive trajectory. It has good bones and a rich cultural history and is a desirable place to live for those looking for an older city feel in the sunbelt.
2. Chicago. As the cultural and financial center of the midwest, I expect to see the city itself bounce a bit. My understanding is that a good bit of its decrease was the result of razing some housing projects.
I'd really like to see Birmingham bounce back, but sadly I don't think it will. The mismanagement in that city is just ridiculous. Some of it because of poor choices and some because of corruption. Birmingham is the seat of Jefferson County, which recently declared bankrupcty. I just don't know of any changes that will cause its decline to reverse. At one time Atlanta and Birmingham were on the same level, but Birmingham rejected the airport hub, clung to manufacturing, and tried to keep racial segregation. Atlanta, on the other hand, embraced the airport hub, diversified its economy, and integrated peacefully. The last 50 years have clearly shown which city had the more forward-thinking leadership.
1. New Orleans: I expect New Orleans to post a gain. The population loss it posted was b/c Katrina, not normal migration patterns. The city continues to rebuild and IMO is on a positive trajectory. It has good bones and a rich cultural history and is a desirable place to live for those looking for an older city feel in the sunbelt.
2. Chicago. As the cultural and financial center of the midwest, I expect to see the city itself bounce a bit. My understanding is that a good bit of its decrease was the result of razing some housing projects.
I'd really like to see Birmingham bounce back, but sadly I don't think it will. The mismanagement in that city is just ridiculous. Some of it because of poor choices and some because of corruption. Birmingham is the seat of Jefferson County, which recently declared bankrupcty. I just don't know of any changes that will cause its decline to reverse. At one time Atlanta and Birmingham were on the same level, but Birmingham rejected the airport hub, clung to manufacturing, and tried to keep racial segregation. Atlanta, on the other hand, embraced the airport hub, diversified its economy, and integrated peacefully. The last 50 years have clearly shown which city had the more forward-thinking leadership.
Even though most major cities have metro areas with substantially more population than the inner city (Atlanta a prime example, less than 10% of the metro area is in the city proper) I could see B'ham become a city where the power and population moves outside the central city to such an extent that the suburban base really moves the city. If Mountain Brook, Vestavia, Homewood and Hoover merged, the "over the mountain" communities would one day dwarf the central city. In many ways this has already happened.
How can we speculate on population changes from 2010 to 2020, when the population data isn't even available yet from the 2010 census? By the way, what is taking them so long?
Out of that list, I would only put my bets on New Orleans.
I wouldn't be that surprised if Baltimore made some gains, though. I have pretty much only heard bad reports about the place, but if D.C. and Philly can turn the population decline around I don't see why Baltimore couldn't.
I have zero expectations of any of the great lakes cities gaining population next census. Those cities are just miserable places to live.
No I am realistic. NO is not going to gain, if anything it will start loosing, people do not want to be threatened by hurricanes. I know at least 40 people who moved from NO because of the constant threat and they said they will never go back. As I am sure you voted for New Orl.
Sorry annie.
I would like to see Chicago stabalize.
There is no doubt the South and the West sides are in need of some help.
There does seem to be a resurgance of companies moving back to downtown vs. being located in the burbs, if this trend continues I do not see how the city will be losing population by the year 2020.
If that trend does not happen I think the growth will continue to be in the entire region vs. the city proper.
Outside of that I am curious as if NYC will hold onto its gains of the past decade.
Seems Pittsburg has diversified its economy now and I can see the city rebounding.
Detroit is making some great in roads and as they say Detroit has a solid frame.
So I think the city to most likely show a resurgance by 2020 would be Detroit , MI
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