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Old 08-08-2022, 07:48 PM
 
Location: West Seattle
6,373 posts, read 4,985,124 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Guineas View Post
That shrinking data was at the very peak of the pandemic. Seattle has already regained that.

https://www.theurbanist.org/2022/06/...0-in-one-year/

Outpacing Suburbs Seattle Grows 2.7% in One Year
Interesting. 1.3% county-wide growth suggests some of the suburbs had outright losses. I'm guessing that's mostly aging inner-ring suburbs (Shoreline, White Center, Des Moines, Renton) as immigrant families are starting to decamp for nicer, farther-out areas, but they haven't yet become cool to Millennials and Gen Z in the city?
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Old 08-09-2022, 08:18 AM
 
Location: Brooklyn, New York
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Quote:
Originally Posted by TheTimidBlueBars View Post
Interesting. 1.3% county-wide growth suggests some of the suburbs had outright losses. I'm guessing that's mostly aging inner-ring suburbs (Shoreline, White Center, Des Moines, Renton) as immigrant families are starting to decamp for nicer, farther-out areas, but they haven't yet become cool to Millennials and Gen Z in the city?
A lot of suburbs and rural areas are losing population simply because fertility rates are low, since they do not get international immigrants like cities. This is not because of people simply moving around internally, as most people stay put. This pattern happens in all countries where the fertility rate is below natural replacement level, like the United States, Japan, Spain, etc.
Expect a huge increase in these types of areas over the next few years, as in big parts of the country people are not moving out, but simply dying out. At the same time, the areas that are still growing, small islands of population, will see their real estate prices increase, as everything around them will have negative growth rates, as economic activity and businesses will flow to where the people are.
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Old 08-09-2022, 01:01 PM
 
Location: Pacific Northwest
2,991 posts, read 3,417,602 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Gantz View Post
A lot of suburbs and rural areas are losing population simply because fertility rates are low, since they do not get international immigrants like cities. This is not because of people simply moving around internally, as most people stay put. This pattern happens in all countries where the fertility rate is below natural replacement level, like the United States, Japan, Spain, etc.
Expect a huge increase in these types of areas over the next few years, as in big parts of the country people are not moving out, but simply dying out. At the same time, the areas that are still growing, small islands of population, will see their real estate prices increase, as everything around them will have negative growth rates, as economic activity and businesses will flow to where the people are.
Basically Japan. A few cities see growth and high real estate prices, and some of the semi-rural places can't practically give their homes away.
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Old 08-09-2022, 01:04 PM
 
160 posts, read 103,930 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by NW Crow View Post
Colorado lost a bit of population in 2020. Growing again but not that fast, slower than 5-10 years ago. Was forecast to stay a top 5 growth rate state over next 20 years but could that projection be overly optimistic now? Time will give more information. See where things are in 2025.
Colorado has never lost population in it's history. The city of Denver has in the past year or so
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