Quote:
Originally Posted by molukai
Hmm, many things have been going awry since my original post....
(1) My original query was regarding Solar Shingles -- not Solar Panels (outside of possibly a cost comparison analysis).
(2) GregW is correct; aside from aesthetic reasons, solar shingles have a dual role of being the actual part of my roofing as well as being a conduit for solar energy capture. The efficiency is lower per piece but I bet you that I can fit way more of those shingles on my roof than panels.
(3) I can believe that solar panels may be cheaper, considering Dow's product is made in the USA and it is being compared to Chinese made products. However, when you factor in labor and transportation of good costs, it may actually be cheaper to go with shingles. I am just making assumptions admittedly, but I have yet to see an actual cost analysis comparison.
(4) The 70% return of investment is in regards to the value added to the house upon selling. This is totally ignoring the actual savings made in terms of energy costs for the time you actually live in your house. Solar panels and shingles - ESPECIALLY RIGHT NOW - are cost effective (assuming you make use of the federal government 30% tax credit, the state government tax refund if applicable, and that you plan on living in your house for at least a decade).
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The benefit when selling your house will vary greatly and while the added value exists right now, it will not in the future:
As the solar shingles age, they lose productivity. Like a new roof, new solar shingles are going to age and decrease in their value. Someone buying a house that needs a new roof in a few years is going to calculate that into the value. Likewise, if your solar shingles are aged, no one is going to pay you a 70% return on the price you paid.
You can't change out solar shingles when higher efficiency shingles come out without a substantial cost. It is unlikely that you would be able to mix and match singles.
You'll need to have extra shingles as replacements if one of them fails or develops a problem. The percentages can work against you, the fewer the components (as in panels) the fewer points of failure. The opposite is true for shingles. Will you be able to get replacements in a few years or will the styles and types have changed?
Shingles lock you into the technology as you bought it. With panels, sapping them out isn't difficult and can be cost effective depending on the advancements in the technology which appears to be on the cusp of new generation of panels.
You can remove the panels and sell them if you decide you no longer want them, recover some cost if you upgrade them or depending on how many you have, take them with you if you sell the house and the offer for them as a value isn't what you want. That gives you leverage. It is unlikely you'd be able to sell used shingles for much if you need to upgrade them and removing them is like removing your roof, you'd have to install a new roof.
There are a lot of things to consider when thinking about solar roof shingles. If appearance is a concern, roof top solar is becoming more prevalent and most people don't consider panels on the roof as a detraction but a positive.
Either way you go, sooner or later the incentives will dry up so now is a good time.