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Old 09-27-2022, 07:21 AM
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by USNRET04 View Post
The latest Weather Channel track has tropical depression Ian directly over Greenville area at 2AM Friday morning. Winds @ 30 mph.
Winds or even wind gust to around 40mph(+/-) is typ threshold for scattered tree/power issues to begin. We’ve had worse thunderstorms, but the wear and tear over several hours with wet soils will do it.

Last edited by Psychoma; 09-27-2022 at 07:41 AM..
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Old 09-27-2022, 07:42 AM
 
Location: Upstate
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Psychoma View Post
Winds or even wind gust to around 40mph(+/-) is typ threshold for scattered tree/power issues to begin. We’ve had worse thunderstorms, but the wear and tear over several hours with wet soils will do it.
I expect area schools to be closed Friday, especially Greenville County, due to down trees and flash flooding in the mountain areas.
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Old 09-27-2022, 08:54 AM
 
Location: Upstate
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Quote:
Originally Posted by USNRET04 View Post
The latest Weather Channel track has tropical depression Ian directly over Greenville area at 2AM Friday morning. Winds @ 30 mph.
I had this wrong, it's not Friday, but 2AM Sunday.

https://weather.com/weather/radar/in...collection=Ian
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Old 09-27-2022, 09:35 AM
 
Location: Upstate
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Slowing down. That can't be good for Florida.

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Old 09-27-2022, 09:54 AM
 
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Looking at the latest models. Don't be surprised to see this storm go straight through Florida, come out in the Atlantic and then move north along our coast our just inland. That would be devastating for the Charleston area, and keep us dry.
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Old 09-27-2022, 10:07 AM
 
Location: Outskirts of Gray Court, and love it!
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Quote:
Originally Posted by furmanpals View Post
Looking at the latest models. Don't be surprised to see this storm go straight through Florida, come out in the Atlantic and then move north along our coast our just inland. That would be devastating for the Charleston area, and keep us dry.
Thats what Im expecting will happen, but Charlseton will be ok, to the disappointment of a few.
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Old 09-27-2022, 10:50 AM
 
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Originally Posted by UpstateJohn View Post
Thats what Im expecting will happen, but Charlseton will be ok, to the disappointment of a few.
I was thinking of the flooding in Charleston. It could be bad.
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Old 09-28-2022, 04:41 PM
 
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NWS GSP forecast is for peak gust to 39-41mph for Greenville/Spartanburg. That's right at the threshold for scattered downed trees and power outages to be seen. So as usual...right at that line. At least if power does go out it shouldn't be for long. Rain 4-6"
NWS GSP: https://twitter.com/NWSGSP/status/1575240884966330374

Euro model map of peak wind gust now through midday Sunday: https://twitter.com/WeatherSources/s...51967273799711
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Old 09-29-2022, 05:11 AM
 
Location: Upstate
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As of this morning, TS Ian appears it will be centered east of Columbia. Of course that will change a bit in about an hour when the next report comes out (8AM).

As for the upstate, if this trend stays true (more easterly), we should miss the brunt of it. But still expect a good amount of rain on Friday mostly, but into Sunday.
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Old 09-29-2022, 05:32 PM
 
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As of Thursday evening: some more bumps East. NWS with 1-2” Greenville, 2-3” Spartanburg. Likely sharp cut off in rain totals of have and have nots. Wind gust maybe right to that start seeing some scattered downed tree / power issues but likely not wide spread (a few thousand wouldn’t be surprising, but they can get out and repair lines in these speeds). A few power outages in the area today with the strong breeze/gust hanging around. Timing Friday sometime during day, ending late Friday night it appears.
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