The current state of the pandemic in five graphs

[mike1003]

Alright Guido,


Is this any better. Updated daily


https://coronavirus.jhu.edu/covid-19-daily-video


COVID in motion!

[guidoLaMoto]

Originally Posted by mike1003

Alright Guido,


Is this any better. Updated daily

No....Switch to this page on that very site https://coronavirus.jhu.edu/testing/tracker/overview "Weekly Trends"-- state by state-- the last column--" percent positive"---ALL flat lines-(ie-STABLE rate)

The Sensationalists are just reporting "Cumulative New Cases" (The page you sited.) That is accelerating because the number of tests being done is accelerating.

OTOH- we have to be careful in interpreting the death info too-- The death rate per case is going down, but that's also because the denominator in the equation (number of positive tests) is rising.

If you're inclined towards math, we're seeing a Markov Process of sorts in progress.

[mike1003]

Originally Posted by guidoLaMoto

No....Switch to this page on that very site https://coronavirus.jhu.edu/testing/tracker/overview "Weekly Trends"-- state by state-- the last column--" percent positive"---ALL flat lines-(ie-STABLE rate)

The Sensationalists are just reporting "Cumulative New Cases" (The page you sited.) That is accelerating because the number of tests being done is accelerating.

OTOH- we have to be careful in interpreting the death info too-- The death rate per case is going down, but that's also because the denominator in the equation (number of positive tests) is rising.

If you're inclined towards math, we're seeing a Markov Process of sorts in progress.

Strong possibility, but treatment is also getting much better

[lchoro]

Or they have enough beds so that people are getting better care. The probability of death for hospitalized patients was soaring when they were running out of beds. Louisiana sends patients to home hospice to let them die without care.

Louisiana home hospice for COVID patients

Number of hospitalizations will drive whether restrictions are reimposed. It's now spread out across the country, whereas the cases in the Spring were clustered in the Northeast. Peak is 3 to 5 months away.

https://covidtracking.com/data/chart...y-hospitalized