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Sat TD7e formed in the East Pacific, quickly organized to TS Fernanda Saturday night. Rapidly intensified since.
As of Sun 13Aug 5pEDT: Winds 75mph(120km/h), moving WNW 9mph(15km/h), pressure 995mb. Expected to strengthen to Cat2 or maybe 3 before weakening later in the week. Models say falls apart over the weekend.
Remnants look to reach Hawaii around Monday 21Aug (+/-) which could help bring some rains to the region if enough of it sticks around.
Mon 14Aug 5aEDT: Continued RI, now strong Cat3. Winds 125mph(205km/h), moving W 8mph(13km/h), pressure 959mb. NHC now has 145mph by later today. Impressive rate of intensification!
Tues 15Aug 5pEDT/11aHST: Winds 105mph(165km/h), moving W 12mph(19km/h), pressure 971mb. Looking disorganized on satellite, likely pulled in dry air too.
Impacts to Hawaii per model guidance: Increased trade winds, increased humidity, scattered showers, 6-8ft+ seas.
Wed 16Aug 11aEDT/5aHST: Winds 65mph(100km/h), moving W 15mph(24km/h), pressure 994mb. Tropical Storm, continues to quickly weaken. Center about 1,860miles(3,000km) ESE of Hilo, HI.
Thurs 17Aug 5aEDT (Wed 11pHST): Winds 40mph(65km/h), moving W 15mph(24km/h), pressure 1004mb. Pretty much gone. Last of storms fading. If doesn't pulse any new ones soon it'll be gone leaving just some clouds and some left over moisture.
The remnants of Fernanda will be moving near Hawaii late Sunday through Tuesday. Increased trade winds (likely 35mph or less, mainly over open waters/coastal areas, less elsewhere), waves 6-7ft, scattered showers (better chances further South).
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