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Old 07-26-2012, 02:49 AM
 
24,413 posts, read 27,029,855 times
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-Zynga missed earnings and offered low guidance sending it down almost 40% after hours.
-Facebook went down 7% after hours because of Zynga's miss and low guidance.

1) Anyone buying or shorting ZNGA? (I wanted to short or get put options, but got too scared)
2) Do you think Facebook will also miss earnings too? (I shorted FB and covered after hours, but I'm thinking about shorting it again before earnings or getting put options)
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Old 07-26-2012, 06:10 AM
 
1,883 posts, read 2,831,949 times
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bmw, sounds like you are in the investing game for a while. Are you winning big overall?

I am curious because it sounds like you are basically guessing if the earnings will hit or miss, because until they release that info, no one will know for sure.

Doesn't seem like you are investing, but more like gambling.
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Old 07-26-2012, 07:22 AM
 
Location: Warwick, RI
5,489 posts, read 6,333,641 times
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Yeah, I'm staying away from any of these so-called social media stocks. I haven't liked them right from the start, and I've made the very clear here since long before the FB IPO debacle. I'll be watching them both today because I need a good laugh. And people call the biotech stocks I've been playing with speculative!!
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Old 07-26-2012, 08:16 AM
 
1,325 posts, read 2,369,102 times
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Long term, i'd stay away, but if i were a gambling man, i wouldn't be surprised if there was a short term pop. Overall sentiment is negative, ad revenue growth is decelerating, fears monetizing from mobile ads as users start shifting to their phones, and zynga earnings disappointment. I would guess zucks and team would deliver a middle of the pack quarterly earnings. Since sentiment is low, street will take this a good way.

As whether facebooks 5-6% drop because of zynga warrented? I think its a bit much, since zynga accounts for around 12% of revenue, based on their filining. But lets say it was warrented, and now priced in. Now the focus will be on ad-revenue growth and mobile.
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Old 07-26-2012, 01:29 PM
 
14,513 posts, read 20,713,050 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by bmw335xi View Post
-Zynga missed earnings and offered low guidance sending it down almost 40% after hours.
-Facebook went down 7% after hours because of Zynga's miss and low guidance.

1) Anyone buying or shorting ZNGA? (I wanted to short or get put options, but got too scared)
2) Do you think Facebook will also miss earnings too? (I shorted FB and covered after hours, but I'm thinking about shorting it again before earnings or getting put options)
Today, I bought 200 Facebook for $27.00 and sold the weekly $27.00 call option for $1.80.
Maximum profit by Friday is $360.00.
However, I can roll the options to next week, if desired.

Downside protection to $25.20 which is above it's 52 week low of $25.52.
I like the risk - reward. We'll see what happens in the next hour.
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Old 07-26-2012, 02:10 PM
 
14,513 posts, read 20,713,050 times
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FB upward.........looks like I might, just maybe, have $360.00 in my pocket on Friday 5pm.

1.80 / 27.00 = 6.66% in 1+ day.

Of course the stock could go way down tomorrow.
Hopefully it closes tomorrow at 27.00 or higher.
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Old 07-26-2012, 02:26 PM
 
14,513 posts, read 20,713,050 times
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Ha....the stock traded up to 29 on the news, and now under 25.
I think Wall Street wanted the CEO on the earnings call and he may not have shown up.
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Old 07-26-2012, 02:46 PM
 
24,413 posts, read 27,029,855 times
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I shorted Facebook 10 minutes before the market closed and saw it shoot up. Disappointed I left my computer, then checked my phone 10 minutes later to see it down 10%, wooot! lol
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Old 07-26-2012, 02:53 PM
 
24,413 posts, read 27,029,855 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by bbnetworking View Post
bmw, sounds like you are in the investing game for a while. Are you winning big overall?

I am curious because it sounds like you are basically guessing if the earnings will hit or miss, because until they release that info, no one will know for sure.

Doesn't seem like you are investing, but more like gambling.
I only gamble during earnings season lol. Overall, I'm up a lot (not from trading earnings though). I started being serious with stocks in my junior year of high school with around $2,000 and now my balance is 1XX,XXX.00. I'm 24 years old.
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Old 07-26-2012, 03:01 PM
 
3,734 posts, read 4,551,743 times
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Originally Posted by treasurekidd View Post
I'll be watching them both today because I need a good laugh.
I've been having a good laugh watching Closing Bell with Maria Bartiromo. It's hilarious watching all the headscratching, speculation about what Zuckerberg should have done, why is the stock plunging, what went wrong, etc. Duh! The stock was way overvalued!
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