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The real issue, I think, isn't whether we'll have an impending correction (10%) decline or even a cyclical bear market (20%) decline; these things come and go, and always will. The real issue is whether the secular bear market of 2000-onwards ended in 2009, or if it persists, with the 2009-2013 gains being a bear-market rally. In that scenario, we may find ourselves in 2020 with stocks essentially back to their present level.
Secular cycles are long-term, on the order of decades. In 1982-2000 we had a secular bull market, despite the crash of 1987 or the "Asian flu" of 1998. None of these sporadic and sharp crashes are reasonably predictable, to say nothing of mere corrections. But what about decades-long trends. What, sitting here today, can we reasonably predict about secular cycles?
they already have started. fidelity international bond is down almost 4% ytd including interest, fidelity corporate bond down almost 1% , fidelity global bond down almost 3%, even new market income is down almost 1.30%.
all in all bonds have stalled and dropped the last 3 months. only high yield is holding up but they act more like stocks than bonds anyway.
If you reinvest the coupon for the duration of the fund, your loss is zero. If you choose to speculate and liquidate, then yes, you will be permanently down. A well-diversified portfolio over time should provide a smoother ride than placing all your eggs in one investment sector.
Chart forTesla Motors, Inc. (TSLA) - if you are new, study this chart. Use Yahoo finance . Got to the charts. Click the technical charts. TSLA is a great study and a great company. Time will prove me right. But I will not buy more shares now. Tech indicators told the story. Then learn to read the news. When the stock first slipped I knew it was going down
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yes yes yes
