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Old 11-10-2018, 11:39 AM
 
Location: SoCal
14,530 posts, read 20,112,106 times
Reputation: 10539

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The economist is Ted Bauman.

https://banyanhill.com/exclusives/70...arns/?z=977228

Quote:
Several noted economists and distinguished investors are warning of a stock market crash.

For example, former budget director for the Reagan White House, David Stockman recently raised a red flag when he declared an economic collapse is imminent. He went on to say: “There surely is a doozy just around the bend.”

Scott Minerd, Chairman of Investments and Global Chief Investment Officer of Guggenheim Partners, warns: “The markets are potentially on a collision course for disaster … once we reach a peak we’ll probably see a 40% retracement in equities.”

Paul Tudor Jones, the famed hedge fund manager and founder of The Tudor Group, is credited for calling the October 1987 market crash, now says that while “we have the strongest economy in 40 years … it is unsustainable.”
View the video linked in the article. Quit viewing when you reach the advertising talk, the free book is only if you join the Bauman Letter. They offer a 100% refund in the first year if not satisfied, and keep the book. Subscription special price: $49 for first year at the time of the video (September?).

Please offer your opinions in replies to this topic.


Quote:
My quick notes:

$5.1 trillion corporate buyback
Rule 10b-18 (buybacks)
70% crash?

P:E indicator
Buffet indicator
Margin Debt
The key: corporate buyback (see attached image, buyback is called "exclusive investors")
Attached Thumbnails
70% Stock Market Crash to Strike December 1, Economist Warns-stock-buyers.jpg  
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Old 11-10-2018, 11:48 AM
 
5,907 posts, read 4,428,389 times
Reputation: 13442
That’s pretty specific.
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Old 11-10-2018, 11:58 AM
 
5,297 posts, read 6,173,625 times
Reputation: 5480
"Economic forecasting exists to make astrology look respectable."


John Kenneth Galbreath (1908-2006).
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Old 11-10-2018, 12:06 PM
 
24,396 posts, read 26,936,812 times
Reputation: 19962
Another day, another "expert" ....like I said before one of these idiots will get it right, but not because they have a crystal ball or are super intelligent, but simply because every month there is an economist that predicts the next crash. There will eventually be a crash and since there is a constant flow of predictions, the stars will align and one of them will get to say, I TOLD YOU and there will be people who will view them as a God for awhile lol.
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Old 11-10-2018, 12:38 PM
 
Location: SoCal
14,530 posts, read 20,112,106 times
Reputation: 10539
Yes I know he's "just another expert." That's why I wanted to get youse peoples' ideas on it.

I don't put much faith in any of the "experts."

I'm pretty much decided to pull back my funds to my bank and sit the year out. This fantastic run-up looks too good to not be a bubble—>bust.

I think the market is great for knowledgeable day traders, of which I'm not. I'm over my head and I know it and that's an important thing to know!

The buyback talk made a lot of sense to me. And anyway I see further declines until the China trade deal is done. However, better have your finger placed on your 'buy' button when the eventual trade agreement is announced.

I'm thinking of making my next target a "buy it at this" then "GTK at that." Take a decent gain and smile at my 2018 profits. Not get greedy this next time around.

What do you think of that graph in my OP?
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Old 11-10-2018, 01:11 PM
 
Location: 5,400 feet
4,861 posts, read 4,796,455 times
Reputation: 7942
Quote:
Originally Posted by Thatsright19 View Post
That’s pretty specific.

He first made his prediction of an Aug 1 2018 crash in July. In September, he said it could happen in October. Now, the remaining time this year is running out.
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Old 11-10-2018, 01:22 PM
 
Location: Vienna, VA
654 posts, read 423,591 times
Reputation: 680
If you google the guys name, it's all over these really sketchy looking "courses". Looks like he does a lot of work with affiliate marketers as I see lots of different landing pages.








Don't waste your money on this B.S
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Old 11-10-2018, 02:59 PM
 
2,746 posts, read 1,780,063 times
Reputation: 4438
10b-18 "little known loophole"? All 10b-18 does is outline the safe harbor for corporate buybacks. If you comply with 10b-18, you can't be charged with market manipulation. It's restrictive on the corporations not permissive.

If he's hanging his whole argument on that "loophole" he's going to miss out on some nice market gains.
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Old 11-10-2018, 03:20 PM
 
Location: Central IL
20,726 posts, read 16,355,663 times
Reputation: 50373
Wow ya don't say - December 1st. He's goooooooood!
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Old 11-10-2018, 03:20 PM
 
Location: SoCal
20,160 posts, read 12,750,608 times
Reputation: 16993
I would ignore all these scare mongers, keep calm and carry on as the English would say.
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