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Old 10-19-2020, 10:08 AM
 
893 posts, read 519,793 times
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I am not a fan of this author from seeking alpha - however he is a popular author there and I am sharing his latest article for interest.

Prepare For 20%+ Returns In 2021

https://seekingalpha.com/article/437...igniter-widget
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Old 10-19-2020, 10:38 AM
 
Location: In a city within a state where politicians come to get their PHDs in Corruption
2,909 posts, read 2,084,877 times
Reputation: 4478
Quote:
Originally Posted by sparkypeanut View Post
I am not a fan of this author from seeking alpha - however he is a popular author there and I am sharing his latest article for interest.

Prepare For 20%+ Returns In 2021

https://seekingalpha.com/article/437...igniter-widget
Aha, do you, the author or Heart84 have some sort of crystal ball that we don't know about? While I perfectly understand human beings desire to shun the uncertainty to the fullest, in markets like this adjusting your portfolio to benefit from uncertainty might be the best course of action. Rather than trying to "predict" unpredictable.

In other words, make your portfolio: heads you win, tails you win.
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Old 10-19-2020, 10:55 AM
 
893 posts, read 519,793 times
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Originally Posted by tolovefromANFIELD View Post
Aha, do you, the author or Heart84 have some sort of crystal ball that we don't know about? While I perfectly understand human beings desire to shun the uncertainty to the fullest, in markets like this adjusting your portfolio to benefit from uncertainty might be the best course of action. Rather than trying to "predict" unpredictable.

In other words, make your portfolio: heads you win, tails you win.
Yea, no crystall ball here!

Probably best to continue to dollar-cost average monthly if you already do that.
Or hold, as per your withdrawal plan if you are retired.
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Old 10-19-2020, 11:02 AM
 
Location: In a city within a state where politicians come to get their PHDs in Corruption
2,909 posts, read 2,084,877 times
Reputation: 4478
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Originally Posted by sparkypeanut View Post
Yea, no crystall ball here!

Probably best to continue to dollar-cost average monthly if you already do that.
Or hold, as per your withdrawal plan if you are retired.
I think the best thing is to have a long-term plan based on your individual needs and stick to it. I read somewhere that in any given year only 5% of professional managers beat the market. Five. I posit the big reason is because they try to beat it. Ironic, isn't it?

Edit: 11% of money managers beat the market:https://stockanalysis.com/can-you-beat-the-market/
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Old 10-19-2020, 11:04 AM
 
3,372 posts, read 1,582,099 times
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There will be lots of uber bulls before the bust for sure. Wonder what this person in the article was saying at the end of 2019 and then in March 2020. Would be interesting.......
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Old 10-19-2020, 11:23 AM
 
893 posts, read 519,793 times
Reputation: 757
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Originally Posted by heart84 View Post
There will be lots of uber bulls before the bust for sure. Wonder what this person in the article was saying at the end of 2019 and then in March 2020. Would be interesting.......
He's always vague - but always says he was right. It's hard to prove him wrong because he has SO many 'if this/then that" statements. Or he'll say you interpreted it wrong because you don't understand the wave method. Quite a talent actually.

p.s. this is the first time I've seen him give an actual percentage tho.
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Old 10-19-2020, 12:05 PM
 
107,491 posts, read 109,941,175 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by tolovefromANFIELD View Post
Aha, do you, the author or Heart84 have some sort of crystal ball that we don't know about? While I perfectly understand human beings desire to shun the uncertainty to the fullest, in markets like this adjusting your portfolio to benefit from uncertainty might be the best course of action. Rather than trying to "predict" unpredictable.

In other words, make your portfolio: heads you win, tails you win.
exactly my sentiment
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Old 10-19-2020, 12:30 PM
 
37,825 posts, read 46,387,982 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by tolovefromANFIELD View Post
Aha, do you, the author or Heart84 have some sort of crystal ball that we don't know about? While I perfectly understand human beings desire to shun the uncertainty to the fullest, in markets like this adjusting your portfolio to benefit from uncertainty might be the best course of action. Rather than trying to "predict" unpredictable.

In other words, make your portfolio: heads you win, tails you win.

Half of a portfolio that goes UP in a bad market and half a portfolio that goes DOWN in a bad market.

Is that not the same as cash?
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Old 10-19-2020, 12:46 PM
 
24,439 posts, read 27,194,769 times
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Originally Posted by tolovefromANFIELD View Post
In other words, make your portfolio: heads you win, tails you win.

lol and how do you make yourself win on both sides?
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Old 10-19-2020, 12:47 PM
 
Location: In a city within a state where politicians come to get their PHDs in Corruption
2,909 posts, read 2,084,877 times
Reputation: 4478
Quote:
Originally Posted by ChessieMom View Post
Half of a portfolio that goes UP in a bad market and half a portfolio that goes DOWN in a bad market.

Is that not the same as cash?
No, that's not what that means. It means a portfolio that will result in a positive gain, or at the very least, help limit your losses in any market. Especially during turbulent times.

Although, cash can certainly provide a return....in a deflationary environment.
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