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Old 01-19-2024, 07:20 PM
 
2,710 posts, read 1,731,014 times
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How high will AI stocks go?

NVDA is valued at 1.5 trillion, but only had 20 billion in revenue last quarter. Huh?

AMD has a PE of 1,451.92. Huh?

AVGO just passed V in market cap. At this rate it will replace TSLA in the magnificent 7. Huh?

They just go up and up everyday, it's so crazy.
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Old 01-20-2024, 03:28 AM
 
106,630 posts, read 108,773,903 times
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like meme stocks , they go up and up based on pie in the sky and the bigger fool theory , until they don’t .

we saw the same thing in the dot coms and tech before the 2000’s bust.

look at some of the greatest companies like ibm , cisco , general motors , etc , in their earlier days …then they were the slugs with terrible performance later on

actually On this date in 2012, Eastman Kodak filed bankruptcy. At its peak the company employed 145,000 people and was one of America’s most successful businesses. But it was made obsolete by technological changes in photography.

Four months after Kodak declared bankruptcy, Facebook bought Instagram, a one-year-old digital photo-sharing app, for $1 billion. The technology used by Instagram (digital photography and wireless photo sharing) had been possessed by Kodak for many years, but the company had never recognized its value, choosing instead to stay devoted to film.

so even the most successful innovative companies in their field can fall off the map by competition doing one better

Last edited by mathjak107; 01-20-2024 at 04:06 AM..
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Old 01-20-2024, 04:02 AM
 
Location: Pennsylvania
31,340 posts, read 14,257,139 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by mathjak107 View Post
like meme stocks , they go up and up based on pie in the sky and the bigger fool theory , until they don’t .

we saw the same thing in the dot coms and tech before the 2000’s bust.

look at some of the greatest companies like ibm , cisco , general motors , etc , in their earlier days …then they were the slugs with terrible performance later on
And for God's sake don't forget AT&T (T) on this list.
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Old 01-20-2024, 04:08 AM
 
106,630 posts, read 108,773,903 times
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Originally Posted by BeerGeek40 View Post
And for God's sake don't forget AT&T (T) on this list.
or LUCENT TECHNOLOGY which came from bell labs and western electric ..the biggest tech innovators of their day

Last edited by mathjak107; 01-20-2024 at 04:36 AM..
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Old 01-20-2024, 05:31 AM
 
4,418 posts, read 2,940,787 times
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AI is most certainly not a bubble and I've been saying that all year. The general public just doesn't understand it and fears AI. AI will change the world. AI is like the digital industrial revolution. How can computer software that does the work of humans but better 24/7 a bubble? Productivity will be through the roof for companies and expenses reduced. You can't say something is a bubble just because its value has gone up and you don't understand why. When everyone thinks something is a bubble it usually isn't.

Last edited by Berteau; 01-20-2024 at 06:51 AM..
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Old 01-20-2024, 05:33 AM
 
2,595 posts, read 2,287,390 times
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Nvidia's revenue more than tripled in the third quarter from the prior year due to soaring demand from cloud and internet companies for its GPUs. Analysts are expecting a similar increase for the fourth quarter.

Nvidia got a huge vote of confidence on Thursday when Meta (META) CEO Mark Zuckerberg announced that the company is spending billions of dollars to acquire thousands of Nvidia chips for its AI projects. In an Instagram Reels post, Zuckerberg said Meta will build out AI infrastructure complete with 350,000 Nvidia H100 chips by the end of 2024 with the goal of developing general artificial intelligence.

That’s not a bubble.
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Old 01-20-2024, 05:35 AM
 
106,630 posts, read 108,773,903 times
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bubble and crash are the two most over used words in investing..

funny how both are connotations of something bad looming …

usually overused by the timers and bears
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Old 01-20-2024, 07:39 AM
 
Location: TX
2,016 posts, read 3,521,385 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by mathjak107 View Post
or LUCENT TECHNOLOGY which came from bell labs and western electric ..the biggest tech innovators of their day
I owned stock in Lucent and @Home Network in the late 90's because I was pretty certain broadband internet was going to be the future. Held both until the end, oops.
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Old 01-20-2024, 08:19 AM
 
5,154 posts, read 3,082,256 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by mathjak107 View Post
or LUCENT TECHNOLOGY which came from bell labs and western electric ..the biggest tech innovators of their day
My wife was an engineer at Western Electric during that time. Bell Labs was focused on a fiber optic version of their traditional switched telephone network model. They dismissed the notion that packet data networks (Cisco et al) and TCP/IP would ever gain a foothold. A $50T mistake…and the rest is history.

AI as exhibited today is nothing new. These GPTs are too centralized to be useful for 90% of businesses.
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Old 01-20-2024, 08:22 AM
 
106,630 posts, read 108,773,903 times
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yep , the most technically innovative companies went the wayside for one reason or another.

i mean who ever thought ibm would turn out to be such a dog
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