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Old 11-02-2022, 11:42 AM
 
Location: In the middle of nowhere... and enjoying it
1,954 posts, read 834,943 times
Reputation: 1808

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Got a chuckle out of this piece on the Las Vegas housing market.

https://www.reviewjournal.com/opinio...ummet-2668477/
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Old 11-03-2022, 10:04 PM
 
31 posts, read 26,325 times
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A chuckle cause you disagree with it? I think he's correct that prices will drop significantly. Unsure how fast though. Gonna look back on this thread in a year and see if I am right or totally off.
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Old 11-04-2022, 06:59 AM
 
Location: In the middle of nowhere... and enjoying it
1,954 posts, read 834,943 times
Reputation: 1808
Quote:
Originally Posted by Wellwouldyoulookatthat View Post
A chuckle cause you disagree with it? I think he's correct that prices will drop significantly. Unsure how fast though. Gonna look back on this thread in a year and see if I am right or totally off.
IMHO NV will not see the same kind of property value decline as it did when the market dropped out of site 15 years ago. Prices are declining and will stay slightly depressed due to interest rates but I don't think the same forces are in play today. Time will tell.
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Old 11-04-2022, 10:02 AM
 
1,326 posts, read 2,586,619 times
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According to an online real estate site, the comps that my home is based on has dropped $125k since last summer and my MIL's home has dropped 140k during the same period. I'd say that's a pretty steep drop in 5 months. Good thing we're not interested in selling!
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Old 11-05-2022, 09:09 AM
 
7,934 posts, read 3,892,105 times
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Nationwide, about 30% of houses are purchased all cash. Buyers don't bother with a mortgage. I haven't seen data for Las Vegas specifically, but Las Vegas has a disproportionally large retirement age population and the retiree age cohort is the wealthiest of all age cohorts. It is reasonable to expect retirees in Las Vegas have purchased houses with cash at a greater rate than the average.
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Old 11-05-2022, 12:49 PM
 
Location: Southern Highlands
2,413 posts, read 2,035,275 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by moguldreamer View Post
Nationwide, about 30% of houses are purchased all cash. Buyers don't bother with a mortgage. I haven't seen data for Las Vegas specifically, but Las Vegas has a disproportionally large retirement age population and the retiree age cohort is the wealthiest of all age cohorts. It is reasonable to expect retirees in Las Vegas have purchased houses with cash at a greater rate than the average.
This is certainly true. Also, Las Vegas has an unusually large percentage of homes selling for $2M +. These homes are often sold for cash as they cannot fully benefit from an IRS deduction for home mortgages. Still, the sudden increase in home mortgage rates will greatly impact the move-up market, and eventually impact everyone.
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Old 11-06-2022, 01:41 PM
 
6,385 posts, read 11,902,021 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by johninvegas View Post
According to an online real estate site, the comps that my home is based on has dropped $125k since last summer and my MIL's home has dropped 140k during the same period. I'd say that's a pretty steep drop in 5 months. Good thing we're not interested in selling!
Was any of that real increases? If you take off the frenzy that basically started in the summer of 2021 and mark those as sustainable prices I think where the market settles will be about there. If that's a drop of 20% so be it.
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Old 11-06-2022, 02:33 PM
 
Location: Las Vegas
1,633 posts, read 1,723,967 times
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My house is still worth about 1.4 times what I paid for it in June 2019.
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Old 11-08-2022, 08:17 PM
 
1,086 posts, read 748,766 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by johninvegas View Post
According to an online real estate site, the comps that my home is based on has dropped $125k since last summer and my MIL's home has dropped 140k during the same period. I'd say that's a pretty steep drop in 5 months. Good thing we're not interested in selling!
It depends. If it's a $500k house then yes that's very steep. If it's a $2m house then it's a rounding error. Perhaps you could talk in percentages.
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Old 11-09-2022, 06:21 AM
 
1,326 posts, read 2,586,619 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by longviewJoe View Post
It depends. If it's a $500k house then yes that's very steep. If it's a $2m house then it's a rounding error. Perhaps you could talk in percentages.
My house is now worth $277k, down from $397k--according to comps in the area. My MIL's house is now worth $363k down from $507k again, according to comps in the area.

I realize that this is not the actual amount the houses are worth, and since everyone is staying in them for now, real value is irrelevant to us. Still, it's a pretty steep drop. Not as much as in 2008, but still, pretty steep. The only plus to the drops is that, hopefully, this will mean a drop in our property taxes next year.
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