Drug Violence in Mexico Data and Analysis Through 2010 (live, legal, safest)

[axixic2]

The Trans-Border Institute (TBI) at the University of San Diego has published a very informative analysis of drug violence in Mexico which goes into far more depth than our short blog posts. The report is part of the TBI’s Justice in Mexico initiative, which is focused on crime, policing and the legal system in Mexico. The Justice in Mexico website provides public access to several books and working papers, databases and specially-drawn maps, produced by the project’s researchers.

Drug Violence in Mexico: Data and Analysis Through 2010, authored by Viridiana Ríos and David Shirk, takes a close look at both the patterns and trends relating to drug violence. The full text of the 21-page report (as a pdf file) is available here.

Drug Violence in Mexico Data and Analysis Through 2010

http://justiceinmexico.files.wordpre...ugviolence.pdf

TRANS-BORDER INSTITUTE RELEASES REPORT ON DRUG VIOLENCE IN MEXICO

Trans-Border Institute Releases Report on Drug Violence in Mexico « Justice in Mexico

The rates of drug war deaths vary enormously in Mexico’s states | Geo-Mexico, the geography of Mexico

The national average rate is 30.81 deaths per 100,000 population. It is not surprising that the State of Chihuahua, which led the country with 10,135 deaths, had the highest rate, almost 300 deaths per 100,000 population. The rate for Chihuahua is almost ten times the rate for the country as a whole. The rates for the other leading drug war states are significantly smaller, but way above the national average.

The four most populous states, Mexico, Federal District, Veracruz and Jalisco, are centrally located and have death rates ranging from half the national average for Jalisco down to about a fifth for Veracruz. Interestingly, for these four states the rates decline from west to east. This pattern does hold when less populous intervening states are included. Two of these, Querétaro and Puebla have about the lowest rates in the country, about one-fifteenth the national average. Yucatán also has a very low rate. The drug war death rates for Tlaxcala, Puebla and Yucatán are less than one half of one percent of the rate in Chihuahua. Clearly, some parts of the country are far more affected by drug wars than others.

[Geree]

The national average homicide rate of 30.81 is wrong. The NAHR is measured in terms of a yearly basis per 100,000 inhabitants. Isntead of 30.81 should be 7.7 (yearly).

The NAHR of Mexico is 18 (2010) while the national average homicide rate for criminals is about 13.88 (2010).

Let us check this trend.





Source:
Trans-Border Institute Releases Report on Drug Violence in Mexico « Justice in Mexico

[axixic2]

The 30.81 number was for Chihuahua, not all of Mexico. Only a few states experience a high rate of crime due to the cartels. The rest of Mexico is apparently safer than some of the safest countries.

[Geo-Mexico]

Thanks for requesting clarification. The Geo-Mexico rates, as explained in the article (and in key of map), are not annual rates, but are rates for the period 2006-2010.
We entirely agree with the figures you give for annual rates.

[Geree]

Thanks for clarifying guys

[malamute]

It's very sad that tourism could be down to even the quite safe regions because of so much information being spread.

I can certainly see staying out of Juarez, although I know people who live there are are not afraid they say, but there's no reason to stay away from the places that Mexican culture is the most vibrant and interesting and always has been which is the south and central regions.

The state of Guerrero hasn't been "safe" except for certain cities for many decades but it wasn't unsafe for tourists in general. Tourists aren't who is being targetted but also not all tourists are completely innocent. A "tourist" can make a bad drug deal and suffer the same consequences as others might, but if they aren't involved, they aren't targetted.