Probability of Rain (university, live, area)

[Joe Doer]

I heard about an interesting study done by the University of Washington. I has to do with the understanding of weather reporters when they give us a probability of rain. Over 50% of people surveyed were incorrect in what the "probability of rain" means. The mistaken think if there is a 25% chance of rain it will rain in 25% of the area reported or that it will rain in the area for 25% of the day.

A 25% chance of rain simply means there is a 75% chance that it will NOT rain in the area reported.

[bigskydude]

Originally Posted by Joe Doer

I heard about an interesting study done by the University of Washington. I has to do with the understanding of weather reporters when they give us a probability of rain. Over 50% of people surveyed were incorrect in what the "probability of rain" means. The mistaken think if there is a 25% chance of rain it will rain in 25% of the area reported or that it will rain in the area for 25% of the day.

A 25% chance of rain simply means there is a 75% chance that it will NOT rain in the area reported.

Abd try to differentiate partly cloudy, from partly sunny.

[grizzfan]

When I lived in Tacoma the forecasters often talked about "sun breaks"!!

[Mt-7]

LOL I hear ya!
Dh and I married at the courthouse in beautiful Tacoma.
Then took in a Sammy Hagar concert at the dome.
Many moons ago