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It is VERY DRY outside so it would be nice to see a pattern change toward more rainfall. Jay Peak in Vermont recorded snow yesterday but all of the precip was in the favored upslope areas that are higher in elevation. Most of New Hampshire south of the notches continue to be bone dry.
High fire danger continues until any significant precipitation occurs. This will likely be from a storm around the 21st or 22nd. Verification is the key as the pattern has been very dry. If the models continue to show the storm for those dates I will post an update to this thread.
NOAA is predicting that we'll have another warm year and at least the six month outlook indicate we'll have another warm winter if not warmer than last year. Which I would be perfectly happy with Less pellets to burn, less worrying about ice and other fun hazards that come with the climate.
NOAA is predicting that we'll have another warm year and at least the six month outlook indicate we'll have another warm winter if not warmer than last year. Which I would be perfectly happy with Less pellets to burn, less worrying about ice and other fun hazards that come with the climate.
That isn't what I'm seeing. The pattern change has definitely occurred in the past month and I think we are trending toward wetter conditions overall with temperatures closer to average. I will update this thread in a few months if I am incorrect in my assumptions on this. Quite often, the Climate Prediction Center will issue long-range forecasts based on a weighted percentage odds scheme that is a hybrid of warmer tempartures than average over time along with oceanic and atmospheric phenomena which includes: El Nino, La Nina, Blocking, etc.
While I understand many people would "enjoy" another mild winter, we have experienced a number of them for the past several years. With milder temperatures during the winter comes the risk of more bugs, ticks, and invasive species. The nearly complete lack of snow during the heart of winter this past season was also quite depressing. If I didn't like snow I would have just stayed in the South.
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Thanks Granite Stater!
